As coronavirus cases wane, vaccine-lagging areas still see risk

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New coronavirus cases are declining across most of the country, even in some states with vaccine-hesitant populations.

Understanding the origins of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, is a linchpin for future pandemic prevention.More than 7,300 Mississippians have died in the pandemic, and the state has the sixth-highest per-capita death rate.“So we’re now sort of seeing that effect,” Dobbs said, “most likely because we have a combination of natural and vaccine-induced immunity.”

The 10 states with the fewest new cases per capita over that time frame all have full-vaccination rates that are above the national average. But Dr. Leana Wen, a public health professor at George Washington University, said she was concerned that the natural immunity of those who had been exposed to coronavirus might soon wane. And she’s worried that states with low vaccination rates could become hot spots.“Just because we’re lucky in June doesn’t mean we’ll continue to be lucky come the late fall and winter,” said Wen, the former health commissioner for the city of Baltimore.

Dr. Albert Ko, who chairs the Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases at Yale, said there were no accurate data to show what percentage of the population in “high burden” states such as Alabama or Texas had been exposed to the virus, but he said estimates had put it as high as 50%.

 

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