5 Key Facts The White House Isn't Saying About Their COVID-19 Projections

President Trump and his top scientific advisors on the coronavirus taskforce gave a much-anticipated presentation Tuesday night, laying out the data behind the president's recent shift in tone regarding the outbreak – including his decision to extend national social distancing guidelines through May 1.released weeks earlier by Imperial College London that, at the time, predicted that if no action were taken to slow the spread of the virus, about 2.

NPR reached out to two researchers who helped put together IHME's model. We learned of four assumptions made by the model that administration officials did not mention.The president's guidelines are not what makes the difference ... IHME's model forecasts the outcome for each state by taking into account not just which measures state officials have imposed, but the date on which officials imposed the measures, and how much transmission was already underway by that point, as measured by the number of COVID-19 deaths.

Yes, if the best case scenario model being relied upon rests on an assumption of enforced social distancing through 6/1, I wish there were more candidness around that. Thank you for posting.

IHME_UW Unfortunately, assuming that Republican governors in red states will suddenly start using science to shape policy is like assuming the squirrels in your yard will start speaking Esperanto.

If you are curious about this, and want to learn more about how the model was set up. Read:

IHME_UW So they're saying it'll only kill a few hundred thousand of us if we do stuff they're not telling us to do.

IHME_UW All models rely on assumptions. Pointless story

Why did you draw a penis as a graph?

And this is the one with up-to-240k projection?... well... fuck.

This is the travesty of realDonaldTrump - he's completely feckless. He blames, denies and whines. STEP UP and MAKE the assumptions real by LEADING. Increasingly, trumpers, who won't follow the CDC recommendations, because their cult leader, isn't pushing it, endanger us all.

More ankle biting from the publicly funded Democrat Party Press Office calling itself NPR.

'Personal Distancing'. Nothing social about it. Change the name.

We’re not disinfecting anything guys

All MODELS are based in ASSUMPTIONS.

All governors should have ordered self isolation measures 6 WEEKS AGO. By the end of April first week in May the number of cases and deaths from coronavirus in the USA will be BIBLICAL! All because of ignorance, arrogance and shear and utter stupidity.

Why can't this idiot take the initiative and mandate all states issue social distancing guidelines NOW, oh right he's a narcissistic dumbfuck who'll gladly take credit for anything good that happens and deflect everything else

It doesn’t “appear to rely on”. It states clearly those are the assumptions.

Can't he just force them to?

America is enjoying first position in the world 🤣😂😂

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