Investors looking for bargains in an expensive stock market might be better off focusing on sales growth as an indicator, based on how well software companies’ stocks have performed.
But you get what you pay for.
Here are comparisons of increases in aggregate free cash flow per share for the two groups over the past five years, based on consensus estimates:There are vagaries in the data — a very large company’s earnings results can be distorted for any one year because of one-time items, and those can skew results for an industry group.
There are only 13 software companies in the S&P 500, according to FactSet. The group excludes internet software and services companies, such as Facebook Inc. FB, +5.30%, Alphabet Inc. GOOG, +3.37% and Netflix Inc. NFLX, +0.71%. Here’s a summary of price ratios and analyst sentiment for this group of expected rapid sales growers:
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