'We're in the death throes and I can't quite see a way forward': Tories face prospect of a triple by-election defeat

hangs in the balance, while one senior Tory - not trying to spin - tells me that while Conservative Campaign Headquarters thinks there's a chance the Tories will hold on in Selby, they think the party will lose all three.

Labour are touchy that the Conservatives have turned holding Selby into a victory given that the swing required to come even close to taking this seat in a general election - 17.9% - is way beyond the swing Sir Keir needs to secure to win at the next general election. Talk to Westminster insiders and the mood is that Somerton & Frome in the South West with a 19,000 Tory majority will go back to the Lib Dems. Uxbridge has been made more difficult to gauge due to the very live row about the Ultra Low Emission Zone air tariff being introduced by Labour mayor Sadiq Khan, which the Tories have grabbed to attack their opponents.this week, the overwhelming view from voters - even Conservative supporters - was for change.

Anu, a Boris Johnson backer, and his partner Bijal, told me they were also considering going back to Labour having supported Mr Johnson in the past."I think they've got quite a good chance," Bijal told me."We're thinking, should we, should we flick the switch and go back to Labour?"

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