The US presidential election on 3 November will be decided, as always, by the"swing states".
The national vote does not determine who sits in the White House. It is the 538 members of the Electoral College who do this. The winner needs 270 votes in the college to become president.The smallest states each have three members. The largest states, California and Texas, have 55 and 38 members respectively.
Mr Trump's margin of victory in each of these three states was under one percentage point but crucially delivered him 46 college votes - 15% of his final total. Here we take a look at what each presidential candidate must do in the 12 swing states to win the White House:Captured from the Republicans by Bill Clinton in 1992 the state looked secure for wife Hillary with the Democrats regularly polling over half the votes.It was not until a month after the election that the official result was finally declared with the Republican majority of just 10,704 votes.
The state has seen other cliff-hangers. George W Bush came close, losing by 6,000 votes in 2000 and 11,000 four years later.Image: It plumped for George W Bush in both 2000 and 2004, then favoured Barak Obama in the two subsequent elections before opting for Mr Trump last time. The Republicans won a majority in all but six of the state's 99 counties in 2016. State-wide polling, however, suggests a narrowing Republican lead but current expectations are that Mr Biden will not win here.If Biden wins back these target states then he's home and dry, unless the Democrats lose some states they already have.Where could Trump spring more surprises?Before him, no Republican candidate since William Taft in 1908 had failed to win the state on their way to the White House.
There was another close finish in 2016 with the two parties separated by a difference of one percentage point.Trump and Biden supporters wave flags outside a town hall meeting in Miami, Florida Mr Trump's margin of victory, however, was reduced after some voters favoured minor party candidates.
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