US election 2020: can we trust the polls? – podcast

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The Guardian US data editor, Mona Chalabi, casts a sceptical eye over the US polling industry that is once again predicting defeat for Donald Trump. Has it learned lessons from 2016?

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The election of Donald Trump in 2016 came as a hammer-blow not just for Hillary Clinton and the Democratic party but also for the opinion polling industry. While they had correctly predicted her majority in the popular vote, they had catastrophically missed the bigger story: Trump had won in the key swing states to clinch the presidency via the electoral college.

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I friggin hope so. Four more years of that aberration will end the world.

No.

Have a horrible feeling Trump will cling on. Only needs to retain swing states and is chucking the kitchen sink at it.

not with a corrupt p.o.s. like Trump as president.

No, because the MAGAts all lie like Trump does.

Don't look at the approval ratings. But look at the disapproval ratings and yes he'll be out of office

Trump thousands / Biden - 9 people in hazmat suits show up.

No! Vote that f***er out

دير الثقة في نفسك اولا ...ترامب...ننصحك.les algiroi

Can we trust the media

Popular Vote is not Electoral College, right?

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