Ukraine war latest: Russia 'significantly' losing public support for invasion; 'another wave of Ukrainian refugees' to be expected as winter closes in

12/4/2022 6:09:00 PM

Former Senior Military Intelligence and Security Officer @PhilipIngMBE explains why the Russian's are focusing on Bakhmut and how the winter weather will impact the war in Ukraine 👇 Latest: 📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube

Former Senior Military Intelligence and Security Officer PhilipIngMBE explains why the Russian's are focusing on Bakhmut and how the winter weather will impact the war in Ukraine 👇 Latest: 📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube

US intelligence say there will be a lull in fighting as Ukrainian and Russian militaries look to refit for a counter-offensive; Belarusian President claims Ukraine is not willing to hold proper peace negotiations; listen to the latest episode of Ukraine War Diaries as you scroll.

Live updates by Olive Enokido-Lineham.IAEA Head: Ukraine And Russia Close To Zaporizhzhya Safety Zone Deal By RFE/RL staff - Dec 02, 2022, 10:30 AM CST Rafael Grossi, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), says progress is being made to reach a deal to create a safe zone around Ukraine's Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant, which has come under repeated shelling during the fighting between Russian and Ukrainian forces since late February.Image source, Reuters A new cap on the price of Russian oil will "immediately cut into Putin's most important source of revenue," the US has said.By Politics news editor, HuffPost UK 04/12/2022 08:36am GMT.

Updates from Deborah Haynes in Ukraine and Diana Magnay in Moscow 13:07:36 How wet wintery weather is helping Russia's defensive operations As the weather is turning wet and cold in Ukraine, former senior military intelligence and security officer, Phillip Ingram, explains the conditions are impacting operations on the frontline for both Russia and Ukraine.Mr Ingram suggests the wet weather will help Russia defend itself from Ukrainian efforts to recapture land and will make it harder for the attacking forces in Bakhmut in eastern Ukraine." "On the safety of Zaporizhzhya there is a concrete proposal and important progress has been made," the head of the United Nation's nuclear watchdog told the newspaper.He said:"The weather on the ground there [in Bakhmut] is very boggy.It is due to come into effect on 5 December or soon after.The ground sucks and sticks things..Tracked armoured vehicles are designed to have more mobility across difficult ground, but even they have their limits.

"If you're going to manoeuvre armoured formations to have an effect, then you need to move them off-roads, cross-country.."With Russia's economy already contracting and its budget increasingly stretched thin, the price cap will immediately cut into Putin's most important source of revenue," she said in a statement.It helps defensive operations, and that'll help the Russians at the moment.The weather will dictate when the next big manoeuvres happen".Moscow and Kyiv have accused each other in recent months of targeting the plant, which Russian forces took control of shortly after their invasion of Ukraine in February.Bakhmut, in the Donetsk region, has faced intense Russian attacks since August.Poland announced its support after being reassured the cap would be kept at 5% lower than the market rate.In its daily intelligence briefing, the UK Ministry of Defence said on Saturday that Moscow is continuing to invest a"large element of their overall military effort and firepower" along the front line near Bakhmut.The plant has been forced to operate on backup generators a number of times since the Russian invasion, but no radioactive emissions are believed to have leaked since Moscow invaded Ukraine on February 24.

12:16:38 'Another wave' of refugees expected in coming weeks as winter weather sets in The German ambassador to the UK has said he expects"another wave" of Ukrainian refugees"in the coming weeks", as cold temperatures hit the country.Miguel Berger, told Sky's Sophy Ridge on Sunday programme:"Putin continues terrorising the civilian population and we are very concerned about that because these attacks on the energy infrastructure mean that many people in freezing temperatures might be forced to leave Ukraine."The first is that of protection: It means accepting that you don't shoot at the facility, nor from the facility.In a joint statement, the G7, the EU and Australia said the decision to impose a price cap was taken to "prevent Russia from profiting from its war of aggression against Ukraine"."So we expect another wave of refugees in the coming weeks".Cities including the capital Kyiv have already seen snowfall this year, as residents battle with the combined challenge of cold temperatures and Russian attacks disrupting energy supplies.Grossi said it's possible he could soon meet with both Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Ukrainian counterpart, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, to work out details of a deal.Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian refugees have fled to Germany since the war began.The price cap - which is meant to affect oil exports worldwide - is meant to complement that.

On diplomacy, he said Germany does not see a fundamental change in the Russian position and he is"not yet optimistic" about negotiations between Moscow and Kyiv.The safety zone should be set up"as soon as possible," he added.He said:"We don't see a fundamental change in the Russian position."No we don't see for the foreseeable future a willingness to engage in a diplomatic solution in the conversation."The Ukrainian authorities have made a formal request to have a permanent presence of the IAEA in these plants, as in Zaporizhzhya.This will make it hard for Russia to sell oil above that price." 12:01:10 Video shows classical music concert during blackouts A video on social media appears to show a group of people playing classical music at a venue in Ukraine during a blackout.Research director of a think tank called UA Experts, Maria Avdeeva, tweeted the video and wrote:"This is how Kyiv Philharmonic gives concerts during power cutoffs.By RFE/RL.

And these people Russians wanted to break".Image source,.In the video, the camera also shows an audience watching, followed by a round of applause.Ukraine's critical infrastructure has been under persistent Russian attacks for a number of weeks.The strikes have left millions of people facing emergency blackouts and power and water shortages.But since the war, EU countries have been desperately trying to decrease their dependency.11:38:31 Ukraine War Diaries: 'I didn't have electricity for 33 hours' After weeks of missile attacks on their power network, Kyiv residents have been forced to become ever more resourceful with their electricity and water supplies as winter hits.

Resident Ilyas Verdiev told the Ukraine War Diaries podcast that he didn't have electricity or lights for over 33 hours."I can put my things outside and they get frozen at any time.More on this story...This is the 21st century here in a European capital.

This is the winter we have to come through," he said.For more on Ilyas' story, tune into our latest episode of the Ukraine War Diaries - a weekly podcast following those living on Europe's new frontline, and those who have escaped it.11:19:22 In pictures: Military training for civilians takes place in Russia Some of the latest images from Russia show men and women taking part in initial military training for civilians.The pictures were taken at the sports and patriotic club"Yaropolk" in Krasnogorsk outside Moscow on Saturday.It is unclear what the training is for.

The images show individuals tackling each other on the floor, pointing guns and carrying a person away.10:59:55 MoD: Russian public support for war 'falling significantly' polling finds The UK Ministry of Defence has said Russian public support for the 'special military operation' is"falling significantly", citing recent polling.In its daily intelligence update, the ministry said according to an independent Russian media outlet, 55% of Russians favour peace talks with Ukraine and only 25% claim to support the conflict.The outlet claimed to have access to data collected by Russia’s Federal Protective Service for internal use.The ministry added that despite Russian authorities' efforts to control information, the conflict has become"increasingly intangible for many Russians since the September 2022 'partial mobilisation'".

Vladimir Putin ordered the partial mobilisation, Russia's first since the Second World War, in September.The ministry concluded that maintaining tacit approval of the war will be increasingly difficult for the Kremlin.03:16:18 Ukrainian troop deaths 'up to 13,000' Between 10,000 and 13,000 Ukrainian troops have been killed since the invasion in February this year, it has been claimed.A top adviser to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, said the number was far below estimates from Western leaders."We have official figures from the general staff, we have official figures from the top command, and they amount to between 10,000 and 12,500-13,000 killed," Mykhailo Podolyak, said.

He also said civilian casualties were"significant".Mr Zelenskyy's office reported on Friday at least three civilians were killed and 16 wounded in Ukraine in the past 24 hours.And in a press briefing in Kyiv on Friday, United Nations-backed human rights investigators called for the creation of a"victims' registry" that could mean people affected by the war received help more quickly.Pablo de Greiff, a member of the team mandated to look into rights abuses by the Human Rights Council, said"victims have needs that require immediate attention".02:56:19 Russia and Belarus 'prepared for peace' - Ukraine 'unwilling' Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko has claimed Russia and Belarus are prepared for peace - but Ukraine appears unwilling to negotiate.

Speaking at a meeting with Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu, Mr Lukashenko said:"If they want us to live in peace in our region - from what I can tell they want (us to), looking at it from across the ocean - both Russia and Belarus are prepared for it."If they want to fight till the end, that's their business, their right but...for the moment neither I nor our special services see them willing to hold proper negotiations.

" Earlier this week, US President Joe Biden had said he was prepared to speak to Vladimir Putin if the Russian leader was interested in ending the war.But any prospect of peace talks died quickly when the Kremlin said the West must, as a start, recognize Moscow's declared annexation of four Ukrainian regions.Russia and Belarus are formally part of a"union state" and are closely allied economically and militarily, with Moscow using Belarus as a staging post for its 24 February invasion of Ukraine.The two sides discussed bilateral military cooperation at talks on Saturday and amended an agreement on the"joint provision of regional security".Belarus has said it will not enter into the war, but Mr Lukashenko has in the past ordered troops to deploy with Russian forces near the Ukrainian border, citing threats to Belarus from Kyiv and the West.

02:39:47 War in Ukraine will be 'at reduced tempo for some months,' says US intelligence US intelligence experts say there will be a reduced tempo in fighting in Ukraine over the next few months.Avril Haines, director of National Intelligence, said both the Ukrainian and Russian militaries would be looking to try to refit and resupply to prepare for a counter-offensive after the winter, so day-to-day fighting would slow.She said, however, there was no evidence of a reduced Ukrainian will to resist, despite attacks on its power grid and other critical winter infrastructure.She told the annual Reagan National Defense Forum in California:"We're seeing a kind of reduced tempo already of the conflict..

.and we expect that's likely to be what we see in the coming months." She said there was a question, though, over what a new post-winter counter-offensive would look like for the Russians."We actually have a fair amount of scepticism as to whether or not the Russians will be in fact prepared to do that."I think more optimistically for the Ukrainians in that timeframe.

" She said Kyiv's economy had been suffering very badly, describing it as"devastating" but she added she thought Russian President Vladimir Putin had been surprised his forces had not accomplished more militarily."I do think he is becoming more informed of the challenges that the military faces in Russia.But it's still not clear to us that he has a full picture at this stage of just how challenged they are...

we see shortages of ammunition, for morale, supply issues, logistics, a whole series of concerns that they're facing." And she said Russia appeared to be using up its military stockpiles"quite quickly." 17:51:25 Russia rejects oil price cap and warns 'Europe will live without Russian oil' Russia has rejected a price cap on its oil, with a spokesperson warning"Europe will live without Russian oil".We reported earlier that the Group of Seven nations plus Australia had joined the EU in adopting a $60-per-barrel price cap on Russian oil.The move is part of Western efforts to reorder the global oil market to prevent price spikes - and starve President Vladimir Putin of funding for his war in Ukraine.

However, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Moscow"will not accept this cap", according to the RIA news agency.He said Russia would conduct a rapid analysis of the agreement and then respond.Moscow's permanent representative to international organisations in Vienna, Mikhail Ulyanov, warned the cap's European backers would regret their decision.“From this year, Europe will live without Russian oil," Mr Ulyanov tweeted."Moscow has already made it clear that it will not supply oil to those countries that support anti-market price caps.

Wait, very soon the EU will accuse Russia of using oil as a weapon.” Due to your consent preferences, you’re not able to view this..

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PhilipIngMBE Bakhmut holds. SlavaUkraini PhilipIngMBE PhilipIngMBE The 'the Russian's are focusing'? PhilipIngMBE And i will believe literally nothing about was is said.

IAEA Head: Ukraine And Russia Close To Zaporizhzhya Safety Zone Deal | OilPrice.comIAEA head Rafael Grossi says progress is being made to create a safe zome around Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhya nuclear plant

Ukraine war: Price cap on Russian oil will hit Putin immediately - USThe cap, which stops countries paying more than $60 a barrel, is due to come into force on Monday. Screw the US.. Putin is in the right and Ukraine is evil.. we know the only reason Biden and the Dems protect Ukraine is to protect their secrets.. where is the 20 billion Laundered back to dirty politicians that's where Order is enforced to stem disorder. Should make it $20 not $60

Russian Support For Ukraine War 'Falling Significantly', Says British IntelligenceMinistry of Defence says data shows only 25% claim to support continuing the conflict.

Thieves Try to Steal Banksy Mural From Scorched Wall in Ukrainian TownThe image of a woman in a bathrobe and gas mask holding a fire extinguisher, was cut away from the war damaged building in Kyiv's Hostomel suburb. The longer NBC does not cover the Elon dump of the BIDEN, CIA, FBI working together with Twitter to sway an election by censorship of the Hunter Biden Laptop, the more the NBC looks part of the scheme! It’s a war zone. Creating art there and expecting it to be safe is ridiculous. You don't touch 'Banksy'!

Ukrainian refugee cruise ship deal extendedRefugees from war-torn Ukraine living on a ship in Edinburgh will stay there until June next year. REPORT ON BIDEN COLLUSION WITH TWITTER TO CENSOR THE TRUTH You are a disgrace if they weren’t fighting for independence the SNP wouldn’t be interested in them and so generous with Scot’s money! Why isn't the pictured man defending his nazi Bandera glorifying motherland against the Russian invaders?

Group try to steal Banksy mural from wall in Ukrainian townThe group managed to slice off a section of board and plaster bearing the image of a woman in a gas mask and dressing gown holding a fire extinguisher, but they were spotted at the scene and the mural was retrieved. Do not judge . The world has not protected them. Ukraine - a place so dangerous that Banksy barely had enough time to paint his “art” on the walls. We told the streets r unsafe 2 walk & all men r fighting 4 Ukraine but some guys were free 2 dismantle 'street art' Banksy did in the open without being seen or injured & their Police free enough 2 hv time 2 guard some paint?