UK’s coronavirus R rate drops to as low as 1.2

BREAKING: UK’s coronavirus R rate drops to as low as 1.2

10/23/2020 3:55:00 PM

BREAKING: UK’s coronavirus R rate drops to as low as 1.2

Latest estimates put the crucial figure at between 1.2 and 1.4 for the week ending October 23.

Otherwise known as the reproduction number, R is the average number of secondary infections produced by a single infected person. Any number above 1 shows the outbreak is growing exponentially.Visit our live blog for the latest updatesIt’s been used as a vital piece of data to determine whether more restrictions are needed across the country to help slow the spread of infection.

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AdvertisementAdvertisementNew figures also show the growth rate has been shifted down from 4-7% to 3-6%. This estimates how quickly the number of infections is changing day by day.In a day in which several new pieces of crucial data came to light, Office for National Statistics figures showed the

number of new daily coronavirus cases across England has doubled in a fortnightbut the rate of growth may be slowing down.Figures from the ONS infection survey estimateed there was an average of 35,200 new cases per day of Covid-19 in the community in England between October 10 and 16.

People out on Princess Street in Edinburgh, Scotland (Picture: Getty Images Europe)This is up 26% from an estimated 27,900 new cases per day for the period from October 2 to 8 and just over double the 17,200 new cases per day from September 25 to October 1.

The highest Covid-19 infection rates continue to be seen in the North West, Yorkshire and the Humber, and the North East.Professor James Naismith, from the University of Oxford, said the most recent figures – looking at the increase from 27,900 to 35,200 cases per day – suggest the rate of growth of the epidemic may be slowing down.

He said: ‘Comparing the average number of infections per day measured by ONS for the week ending Oct 9 and the week ending Oct 16 suggests that the doubling time might have increased to three weeks.‘If so, and I emphasise there are uncertainties, this is a hopeful sign that the rate of increase is slowing down.’

A couple shopping in Knighton which straddles England and Wales (Picture: Getty)He said the figures were ‘hopeful’ but added that it was ‘too early to draw firm conclusions’.He added: ‘Feeding these numbers back in to yesterday’s track and trace numbers reveals the scale of the challenge facing the current PCR-based test, track and trace system.

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‘Testing identified less than half the people who got infected in the week ending October 14.‘This is a disease which is asymptomatic for the majority and rapidly spread. It is very hard to track and trace.’ Read more: Metro »

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Now if we look at the “kill rate”, it’s not so scary.

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