'Escalating tensions with Russia are forcing a confrontation with an uncomfortable reality for European leaders: Putin holds the cards when it comes to Europe’s energy needs,' writes ciaraCnugent
When it comes to Russia, Europe's climate goals and geopolitical interests align
Germany, the E.U.’s center of gravity and one of the countries most dependent on Russian natural gas, has long tried to frame its foreign policy and its energy needs as separate issues. But its new government hasClimate is EverythingIf Russia invades Ukraine and enters a military conflict with NATO powers, natural gas prices could well double from their already high levels, says Massimo Di Odoardo, vice president of global gas research at energy consultancy Wood Mackenzie. “There’s no telling how high [prices] will go and there’s very little Europe could do to prevent the increases.”
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Macron calls for ‘de -escalation’ of tensions in Ukraine as threat from Russia loomsEMMANUEL MACRON has demanded a 'de -escalation' of tensions between Russia and Ukraine after the Kremlin moved 100,000 troops near to the border, despite denying it is planning an invasion. Like Russia cares what Macron says
Britain will deploy army to defend Europe if Russia invades Ukraine, says Boris Johnson🗣️Britain will deploy troops to protect its allies in Europe if Russia invades Ukraine, Boris Johnson said as he predicted Vladimir Putin’s army would face “ferocious resistance” from Ukrainian freedom fighters Frickin warmongering barsteward.. Hope there not all pissed
Russia ‘will try everything to avoid’ war with Ukraine, says Russia defence expertThe US and Nato will “reject” Russia’s proposals, Fyodor Lukyanov, chairman of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy, tells krishgm. Russia will respond with a “powerful force demonstration”, but not “war”, with Ukraine, he believes. krishgm USA and NATO? Why not just NATO? krishgm Is it possible to just remove the psychopath from the situation? krishgm The ordinary people of this world just want to live thier lives, go to work, raise their kids, watch a film, eat some decent food etc, etc...whether Russian, Ukrainian, Turkish, Irish, American, British, Chinese or Icelandic etc...WE DO NOT WANT FUCKING WAR -Sort it out now MEN
U.S. Puts 8,500 Troops on Alert for Possible Deployment to Europe Amid Ukraine CrisisThousands of U.S. troops were put on standby to deploy to eastern Europe as fears of a Russian ground invasion into neighboring Ukraine looms over the European continent. Ukrainian Defense Minister: Stop the Hype About a Russian Invasion … Finally Gateway
What happens if Russia invades Ukraine? – podcastWith diplomatic talks at an apparent impasse, Vladimir Putin seems prepared to start a war. Andrew Roth reports from Moscow A ton of Russians die. What happens if NATO steps back from its territorial ambitions? Boycott Russia
Russia could use 'deception' tactic to keep NATO guessing, security experts fearAround 126,000 Russian combat troops are gathered close to the Ukraine border, along with 30,000 pro-Moscow separatists in contested Donbas. Nato is bolstering its deterrence in the Baltic Sea region
worsened the situation by deliberately squeezing gas exports.However, Mr Macron insisted that Russian aggression would be met with “serious consequences”.Britain will deploy troops to protect its allies in Europe if Russia invades Ukraine, Boris Johnson said as he predicted Vladimir Putin’s army would face “ferocious resistance” from Ukrainian freedom fighters.Krishnan Guru-Murthy Presenter We spoke to Fyodor Lukyanov, the chairman of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy, which advises the Kremlin, and began by asking him what he expects Russia’s next move is likely to be.
A military conflict over Ukraine may choke supply even further, spelling some painful months, or even years, for Europe. But some environmentalists see a silver lining here: this moment could, they argue, act as a wake-up call for Europe on the risks of a fossil-fueled world. “Every channel must be used to the full to re-engage Russia in a process of de-escalation. “If Europe doesn’t want to be exposed to geopolitical risks like this, it needs to reduce its dependence on natural gas as quickly as possible,” says Euan Graham, a gas transition researcher at climate think tank E3G. The US is considering sending 8,500 US-based troops to Eastern Europe and the Baltic states as a deterrent before a possible Russian invasion, with President Biden saying that some of those troops may move "in the near term". “It should act as a real springboard to kind of rethink Europe’s relationship with gas. If there is an attack the cost will be very high.” Germany, the E.
U. Mr Macron has previously called for a European response to the crisis and appears to be positioning France and Germany as alternative negotiating partners for Russia. The US President warned of "enormous consequences" for Russia.’s center of gravity and one of the countries most dependent on Russian natural gas, has long tried to frame its foreign policy and its energy needs as separate issues. But its new government has it might now shelve authorization of Nord Stream-2, a pipeline that would have boosted gas imports from Russia. He said: “I will remind you that we have been clear that any attack threatening the territorial integrity of Ukraine would come at a high price. A version of this story first appeared in the Climate is Everything click here ." Asked what would trigger the deployment of the 8,500 troops to Nato's eastern flank, he said it depended on what Mr Putin did. If Russia invades Ukraine and enters a military conflict with NATO powers, natural gas prices could well double from their already high levels, says Massimo Di Odoardo, vice president of global gas research at energy consultancy Wood Mackenzie.
“There’s no telling how high [prices] will go and there’s very little Europe could do to prevent the increases.” The E. And again, it's not provocative.U.’s big fear is that U.S. plane carrying military equipment and munitions has landed in Kyiv, the third shipment of a $200-million security package to shore up Ukraine.
sanctions, which may limit Russia‘s ability to use dollars or international payment systems, would make it difficult for customers to pay for natural gas orders and cause hold-ups. In a worst case but less likely scenario, Russia could retaliate to sanctions by deliberately slashing gas flows to Europe. “In the Armageddon event that Russia kind of halves exports,” said Di Odoardo, “Europe could only last around six weeks [in cold weather] with the level of storage that they have,” before power outages and rationing would begin in some countries." Britain could offer personnel, Typhoon jets or other assets to locations on Nato’s eastern fringes. Then there’s the potential for physical damage to gas infrastructure and operations in Ukraine itself, through which roughly a third of Russian exports to Europe flow, which would cause market jitters, likely leading to price increases. In the short term, Europe has few options to shift its energy mix away from Russian natural gas.
Between low reserves, long timelines for new projects, and the E. The Prime Minister told MPs, “What we are all discussing at the moment is what we can do to fortify Nato’s eastern/south-eastern flank.U.’s green energy ambitions, it would be all but impossible for Europe to significantly step up its own natural gas production. The bloc could partially re-activate recently decommissioned coal plants—undermining its emissions goals with the dirtier fossil fuel—and nuclear plants.” The British Army has about 850 troops based in Estonia under the banner 'Operation Cabrit'. But according to Wood Mackenzie doing so would provide at best about 10% of the electricity currently generated by natural gas.
And, when it comes to heating, millions of homes across Europe have no alternative but to use natural gas because of the way they are set up. Europe’s only choice to weather the immediate impact of diminished gas supply would be to seek imports of liquified natural gas (LNG)—a form of the fuel that can be transported from far away by ships—from major producers like the U. Separately, about 130 UK military engineers have been dispatched to Poland under a bilateral agreement to help Warsaw cope with migrants flooding through the border from Belarus.S. and Qatar, and the Biden administration is holding to help Europe do that. But those countries’ output can only be marginally increased, analysts say, so Europe would be competing with Asian countries for supply. "Ukrainians have every moral and legal right to defend their country, and I believe their resistance would be dogged and tenacious,” Mr Johnson said as he rejected Russian demands to ban Ukraine from joining Nato.
That could spark global price increases. In the long term, climate advocates say cutting Europe’s dependence on natural gas means scaling up renewable energy as fast as possible for electricity production, as well as overhauling buildings to use clean heating technologies like heat pumps and increasing energy efficiency through insulation retrofits. The latter has the added benefit of allowing governments to prioritize social housing where residents would feel the pain of gas price increases most, according to Graham. "If the truth is that Russia's goal is to keep Nato forces away from its borders, then invading Ukraine could scarcely be more counterproductive," said Mr Johnson. Clean energy and efficiency projects will not solve Europe’s energy crisis within the next few months. But for the region’s leaders, the lessons of this moment will likely shape decisions for years to come.
“If we really want to stop long-term making Putin very rich, we have to invest in renewables and we need to do it quickly,” the E. He also said the US may start "moving around" troops that are already "on the ground" in Europe.U.’s climate chief Frans Timmermans . “If you really want to make sure that you can provide stable, affordable energy to your citizens, renewables is the answer. "So, I would not rule out the possibility that we could be talking about larger numbers in future days and weeks.” More Must-Read Stories From TIME How .