Election poll tracker: How do the parties compare?

Show moreYouGov's seat projection has raised a lot of interest.

Also, some other recent polls have suggested that Labour have moved a bit closer to the Conservatives than they are in the YouGov poll. Of course, convergence doesn't mean the polls can tell us what the final result will be. There's still more than two weeks to go and the lesson from 2015 is that there can be a consistent error across nearly all polls.Overall, the polls from the last week have shown the same pattern of movement as they have throughout the campaign.

However, a result along those lines wouldn't mean their vote share was approximately flat across the country. In fact, the Conservatives are now pushing towards the 43% they actually achieved across Britain at the general election in 2017. But compared to the 2017 election, the poll suggested the DUP and Sinn Fein losing vote share with the Alliance and SDLP going up.

Both parties' average scores are up, although they're still below the vote shares they recorded at the 2017 election - more than 10% below in Labour's case. However, that poll was conducted more than two weeks ago, before the election was even confirmed so it's rather likely that these figures are out of date.4 November 2019There have already been eight polls conducted since then - we can expect that from now on they will be coming thick and fast.

Forty per cent of people in their latest poll said it was the single issue that was most likely to influence their vote. That compares with 18% at the start of the 2017 campaign. In the latest poll by Opinium they hit 40% - the highest figure in a single poll since the middle of August. They've also moved up to an average of 36% in the BBC poll tracker.

More Tory propaganda.

Bollocktics and bollockticians 💩🤣😂😅

Someone must be scared of these results-took then down?

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