Covid: Has England's lockdown worked?

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When England went into a national lockdown in November, it left behind a three-tiered system Now the system is back - but with tougher restrictions So has the lockdown worked?

When England went into a national lockdown on 5 November, it left behind a three-tiered system of restrictions designed to keep the virus under control.

It suggests the highest tier may have had some impact - the North West, where cases rose the least, was largely in tier three. But tier two had little effect in most of the country, while in many tier-one areas - particularly in the South East - cases rose quickly. According to Sage: "Test and trace, including mass testing, is most effective when prevalence is low. Even the most effective test-and-trace system will have little impact when caseloads are high."

You can see this in the figures. Whereas some areas' cases more than doubled while the tier system was in place, the most dramatic falls under lockdown were only half that rate over the same period. Fears of what a lockdown in the run-up to Christmas might do to already-struggling shops and restaurants are likely to have been in the prime minister's mind.Health Secretary Matt Hancock has said the new tiers have been based on factors that include numbers of positive tests and the pressures on the NHS.The government is also looking at the numbers involving people aged over 60 and the rate at which cases are rising or falling.

 

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It cut our infection rate by 50% here

Lockdowns never work. They’re the reason for all the excess deaths this year. This government should be on mass manslaughter charges.

Yep it cut our infection rate in half

Hell no, i went into it in tier 1, coming out in tier 3

Lockdowns harm more people than they help!!

Articles such as these give a very pessimistic view of the rate of change of Covid case rate. For the vast majority of the country INCLUDING the SE cases are falling very significantly. Eg 33% drop over week for Hampshire. Very Dodgy interpretations yet again.

BBCPolitics in a lot of areas pubs and restaurants have been fairly safe , but am hearing there have been a lot of infections in clubs where families have been mixing 🤔🎅

Nobody knows ... it is too early to assess results... The government blunders blindly on .... killing whatever they might have achieved... simply because they do not understand what they are doing.... NOTHING MAKES ANY SENSE...

Well given the R rate has come down I'd say yes albeit temporary. I should imagine it will rise again after Christmas. Bit like a credit card, Enjoy now pay later.

It's not a lockdown. There are people going to work and students everywhere. The government are deliberately keeping it going to award more contacts to their mates for as long as possible.

The Lock Down only slows down transmission by lack of contact But we cannot go on not having contact So like our medical staff we must protect our selves from this AIRBOURNE VIRUS If an infected person walks by their breath in the air could carry CV19 & only a mask could stop it

When do we all get to move onto the Universal Basic Income? 🤪

Some time ago during this shit show the experts told us face masks were irrelevant, now, they are blaming the plebs for not wearing one! Blame the plebs and divert from their incompetence!

Can't help but feel the BBC and sky are trying to stir up the armchair scientists with tweets like that 😂😂😂

No

Ruined businesses, ruined livelihoods, increased depression, missed operations, missed cancer diagnoses, more deaths at home...... and has C19 gone? NO livingNOTlockdown

Leicester been in lockdown 151 days .

BBCPolitics No

BBCPolitics Of course the lockdown has worked. You, at the BBC run a website that gives Covid details for local areas. Anyone who records these BBC figures sees the downturn in infection numbers. You produce the information, you must know the lockdown works. So, what's your game then?

It does. But it's not working at the 100%.

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