War may loom, but are there diplomatic options?

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WASHINGTON - Russian troops are encircling Ukraine from three sides. In Washington and Brussels, there are warnings of crushing sanctions if Mr Vladimir Putin orders an invasion.

Diplomatic families - both American and Russian - are being evacuated from Kiev.

That is a matter of national sentiment, and polls show that Russia's seizure of Crimea in 2014 has only driven more Ukrainians toward Europe. Putin's massing of the troops is likely to accelerate that trend, American officials say, rather than reverse it. On those two issues, it would seem, there is trading space. While the United States says it will never abandon the Nato"open door" policy - which means that every nation is free to make its own choice about whether it seeks to join the Western alliance - the reality is clear: Ukraine is so corrupt, and its grasp of democracy is so tenuous, that no one expects it to be accepted for Nato membership in the next decade or two.

Administration officials say the United States has no such plans - and some kind of agreement should be, as one official said,"the easiest part of this," as long as Russia is willing to pull back its intermediate-range weapons as well.

So is there room for negotiation? Perhaps there is, Ms Gottemoeller said. She noted that Mr Putin"cares about summitry with Biden," which suggests that the two men might, ultimately, come to some kind of broader understanding about Europe's future.

 

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