UK risks twice-as-big second COVID-19 wave without better testing: Study

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Britain faces a second wave of COVID-19 this winter twice as widespread as the initial outbreak if it reopens schools without a more effective ...

File photo of a COVID-19 testing station manned by British military personnel inside London's Hyde Park, Britain, May 8, 2020. LONDON: Britain faces a second wave of COVID-19 this winter twice as widespread as the initial outbreak if it reopens schools without a more effective test-and-trace system in place, according to a study published on Tuesday .

"However, we also predict that in the absence of sufficiently broad test-trace-isolate coverage, reopening of schools combined with accompanied reopening of society across all scenarios might induce a second COVID-19 wave," said the study, published in the Lancet Child and Adolescent Health. The lead author of the study, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, said the test-and-trace system in England was currently reaching only about 50 per cent of contacts of all those testing positive for COVID-19.Panovska-Griffiths, lecturer in mathematical modelling at University College London, told BBC radio that the worst scenarios could still be avoided.

Schools in Britain closed in March during the national lockdown, except for the children of key workers, and reopened for a small number of pupils in June.

 

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