Singapore's Omicron wave likely to see a fairly sharp peak, says infectious disease expert

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Will Singapore's Omicron wave be shaped like a plateau, with a flat top? Or will it look more like a mountain, with steep slopes and a sharp peak? The latter is more likely, says infectious disease modelling expert Alex Cook, an associate professor at the National...

The Omicron variant of the coronavirus

In Singapore, the variant is spreading much more slowly than it is in European and North American cities because of the country's safe management measures, said Professor Teo Yik Ying, dean of the Saw Swee Hock School. These numbers mean that Singapore will soon face an Omicron wave, with 10,000 to 15,000 cases a day a distinct possibility.But apart from the new variant being less severe than Delta, the country's circumstances are also very different from when Delta first hit.

Fewer than one million people were fully vaccinated at the time, with daily case numbers in the double-digits and the vast majority of infections imported. Air travel had slowed to a trickle and quarantine-free travel was not an option.

 

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How sharp? Wat is the radius of curvature?

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