Singapore's COVID-19 reproduction number is above 1. What does this mean and should we be concerned?

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SINGAPORE: On Sep 6, COVID-19 multi-ministry task force co-chair Lawrence Wong talked about a number rarely heard thus far in Singapore\u0027s fight against the coronavirus. \u0022What is of concern to us is not just the absolute number of cases, but the rate at which the virus is spreading. And that’s the re

SINGAPORE: On Sep 6, COVID-19 multi-ministry task force co-chair Lawrence Wong talked about a number rarely heard thus far in Singapore's fight against the coronavirus.

"We will attempt to do so without going back to another heightened alert. And in particular, we will go for aggressive contact tracing and ringfencing of cases and clusters, and push for more pervasive testing," he added.In epidemiology, R is the number of people that one infected person will, on average, pass on the coronavirus to.R0 refers to the basic reproduction number of COVID-19 when there is no immunity or interventions to stop it.

"It goes up and down as immunity grows, as control measures change, and as the population’s social activities wax and wane. It represents how much transmission is happening today. Because the epidemic is currently growing, Rt is more than one," Assoc Prof Cook said. "We all know that during the flu season, if someone in the office starts sneezing and coughing, it is a matter of time before most people get infected."

"Without that doubling, with the current measures and degree of protection from vaccination, the epidemic would be slowing," he said. "So, those with mild disease may not seek medical attention and may end up spreading the infection to more people than would have happened if they were under a five-day MC with stay-home notice for respiratory infection or hospitalised for severe illness."If Rt rose as high as 2, Assoc Prof Cook predicted that the majority of the Singapore population would get infected even with a high vaccination rate, though most infections would be mild.

 

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Just look at Mongolia, no deaths, no virus and not wearing mask till now

Interesting. Today I learned new thing. Reproduction rate is probably a great measurement going forward. I wonder what’s the R like for other countries. 🤔

Concern also no use because it is not what we think or feel matters…

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