Is the new COVID-19 normal a new, worrisome variant every few months?

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Experts say only time, and research, will tell.

Is this to be our new reality, always fearful some new mutation will destroy what little normalcy we've been able to recover? Experts say“We haven’t had anything that looks like normal yet,” said Lauren Ancel Meyers, a professor of statistical and data science and director of the COVID-19 Modeling Consortium at the University of Texas at Austin.will require nimble reactions.

To keep the public's trust, transparency and openness will be necessary, much as South Africa alerted the world as soon as it knew the new variant had emerged."If there are too many false alarms, we run the risk people might stop thinking they should take the threat seriously," said Rachel Piltch-Loeb, a biostatistician at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

At a news conference last week, President Joe Biden said the new normal should include everyone getting vaccine booster shots, reducing the number of unprotected people. "Historically, that's been how pandemics resolve. But there was a huge toll on the human population," said Deborah Fuller, a microbiologist and division chief for infectious diseases and translational medicine at the University of Washington School of Medicine in Seattle.

In the end, the pandemic will fade when enough people are immune either through prior infection or vaccination. Manageable doesn't mean it disappears. Diseases almost never entirely go away, they circulate in milder forms or have fewer people they can infect. The threat is still there, even if it is less acute than the original outbreak.

 

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