That sounds ho-hum: One party doing a tad better than the other.Republicans seldom lead on measures of party identification, even when they are doing spectacularly well in other respects.Republicans did lead in the first year the poll was taken - the year of the first Iraq war.
But the heart of the problem lies elsewhere. Democrats are telling a story about America - about the depth and pervasiveness of racism, and about the existential dangers of Mr Trump - that a great many Americans, even a great many would-be Democrats, do not buy.He has always had a weak hold on the coalition of Democratic interest groups that won him the election, and he has had to acquiesce in some of their policy preferences.
Mr Biden insisted that the country"go big" on a new US $1.9 trillion rescue" package in the spring, even after Mr Larry Summers, Treasury secretary under Mr Clinton, warned that such a stimulus could produce inflation.Mr Biden's approval on the economy is at 38 per cent.Mr Biden didn't invent them, but he is suffering from them more than Mr Trump did.
When Mr Biden told an Atlanta crowd this month that those who opposed this bill were on the same side as Alabama's segregationist Governor George Wallace and the Confederacy's President Jefferson Davis, he was arguably combining the condescension of Ms Hillary Clinton's 2016"deplorables" remark with a kind of anti-white race-baiting. That is electorally dangerous.
Voters of any background might, for instance, be appalled by Mr Trump's whipping up of his followers on Jan 6, 2021.
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