Britain's lockdown is slowing coronavirus spread, preliminary study finds
LONDON (REUTERS) - Lockdown and social distancing measures introduced by the British government to slow the spread of Covid-19 may already be working, according to preliminary research findings, and could soon see Britain's epidemic of infections declining.. Read more at straitstimes.com.
Scientists used an online survey to ask 1,300 people in Britain to list their contacts for the previous day - and found that the average number of contacts now is more than 70 per cent lower than before the lockdown."If we see similar changes across the UK population, we would expect to see the epidemic to start to decline," said Professor John Edmunds, who led the study at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM).
He added, however, that the findings were very preliminary and should not be seen as suggesting"job done"."Rather, they should be used as motivation for us all to keep following UK government instructions," Prof Edmunds said."It's imperative we don't take our foot off the pedal. We must continue to stop transmission of the virus to reduce the burden on the National Health Service now and over the coming months."
Like many other countries affected by the pandemic caused by the new coronavirus, Britain has imposed strict social distancing measures, including shop and school closures. The authorities are also asking everyone to stay at home except for essential travel.
Reproduction number The research, which was not peer-reviewed but was posted on LSHTM'S Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases website, looked at a key feature of infectious disease epidemics known as the reproduction number, sometimes called the R0, or"R nought".
This describes the number of people, on average, who will catch a disease from a single infected person. If that number can be brought down to below 1.0, this signals that an epidemic will decline.Using the change in contact patterns, the Edmunds team calculated a change in reproduction number between the pre-lockdown and post-lockdown periods.
The finding that the mean number of contacts per person measured is more than 70 per cent lower now than before the lockdown suggests that the R0 reproduction value now would be between 0.37 and 0.89, they said, with the most likely value being 0.62.Independent experts not directly involved in the research said its findings were useful and encouraging.
"Given the flattening in new cases and that we have some measures in place now for over two weeks and a type of lockdown for over one week, their conclusion that R0 may be below 1 is credible," said Professor Keith Neal, an infectious disease epidemiologist at Nottingham University.
Dr Jennifer Cole, a biological anthropologist at Royal Holloway University of London, said:"It is also valuable that this study shows that R0 can be reduced significantly even when people are still allowed to go out for essential food and medicines and with essential workers still operating."Read more: The Straits Times »
Singapore's measures also doing well to slow down the spread , no need lockdown , some countries also emulate Singapore's containment measures . Singaporeans doing great , foreign workers problems , those at Little India problematic , MOM will do something for sure this round . LawrenceWongST leehsienloong
Coronavirus: Boy, 13, dies in London after testing positiveLONDON (REUTERS) - A 13-year-old boy in London who tested positive for coronavirus has died, a hospital said on Tuesday (March 31).. Read more at straitstimes.com.
In the pink: Gin firms help out London police with hand sanitiserLondon's Metropolitan Police are in the pink after securing a supply of hand sanitiser from the city's gin distilleries to help keep their 'bobbies on the beat' safe. Hand sanitiser, whose main ingredient is alcohol, is in short supply as Britons stock up on it to avoid coronavirus
UAE imposes first lockdown on historic district to slow coronavirusDUBAI (REUTERS) - Dubai enforced the UAE's first full lockdown on a district housing the emirate's famous gold and spice markets on Tuesday (March 31), to disinfect the normally bustling tourist and trade area as part of efforts to stem the spread of the coronavirus.. Read more at straitstimes.com.
US spies find coronavirus spread in China, North Korea, Russia hard to chartWASHINGTON (REUTERS) - As US spy agencies seek to assemble a precise picture of the world's coronavirus outbreaks, they are finding serious gaps in their ability to assess the situation in China, Russia and North Korea, according to five US government sources familiar with the intelligence reporting.. Read more at straitstimes.com. Easy to chart in America then? How about Europe and UK? This is nothing but propaganda.
Italy to extend coronavirus lockdown until Easter as new cases fallROME: Italy's government on Monday (Mar 30) said it would extend its nationwide lockdown measures against a coronavirus outbreak, due to end on ... tedry What is going on?
South African policeman arrested for murder amid coronavirus lockdownJOHANNESBURG (AFP) - South African police watchdog on Monday (March 30) said it was investigating one of their own for allegedly killing a man who defied coronavirus lockdown regulations.. Read more at straitstimes.com.