Why COVID-19 outbreaks in countries using Chinese vaccines don't necessarily mean the shots have failed

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Experts say that while these Chinese vaccines might not be as effective as some, they aren't a failure

The crucial metric for measuring success, they say, is preventing deaths and hospitalizations, not aiming for zero Covid-19.China has two vaccines authorized for emergency use by the World Health Organization , Sinopharm and Sinovac. Both use inactivated viruses to prompt an immune response in the patient, a tried and tested vaccine method.

Experts say the outbreaks in places that used Chinese vaccines are broadly in line with what we would expect from these efficacy rates. But according to the Ministry of Health, 73% of cases in the intensive care unit between June 17 and 23 were not fully vaccinated. To reach herd immunity, Lkhagvasuren said more than 80% of the population needed to be inoculated. The country of 3 million still has 1.6 million people vulnerable to Covid-19, she said."We cannot differentiate between Covid-19 vaccines, saying this one is bad or that one is good. All of the available vaccines reduce the risk of severe illness," she said.

In Indonesia, which the Red Cross warned this week is"on the edge of catastrophe," at least 88 doctors died of Covid-19 between February and June 26. At least 20 were fully vaccinated with Sinovac, according to Dr. Adib Khumaidi, the chief of Indonesian Medical Association's risk mitigation team. Another 35 had not been vaccinated, and 33 deaths are still under investigation.

Dr. Hermawan Saputra, an epidemiologist and member of the Indonesian Public Health Experts Association, said more virulent strains of Covid-19 may have reduced the efficacy of the vaccines. Jin said the Chinese vaccines' efficacy might not be high enough to stop the virus circulating in a community, thereby putting herd immunity out of reach. That runs the risk of vaccine-resistant variants emerging.

Pfizer and Moderna may roll out in more countries next year after manufacturing capacity is increased. But right now, there's just not enough to go around. When the vaccines are a success, that reflects well on the Chinese Communist Party, even though Sinovac is a privately owned company . But because China's shots are often flattened to"Chinese vaccines," when there are questions over efficacy, that impacts all of them -- and hurts the party, too.

 

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