OCTA sees Metro Manila daily COVID cases going down to 500 by end of February

1/21/2022 7:44:00 AM

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As the number COVID-19 cases in NCR continues to decline, a fellow of the independent research group OCTA projected that the number of cases in the region will further go down to 2,000 by the end of January and around 500 by the end of February. READ:

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OCTA Research Fellow Dr. Guido David (GO NEGOSYO OFFICIAL FACEBOOK PAGE)As the number of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Metro Manila continues to decline, a fellow of the independent research group OCTA projected that the number of cases in the region will further go down to 2,000 by the end of January and around 500 by the end of February.

“Based on our estimate, the situation will be highly improved even by the end of the month. We’re projecting just a little over 2,000 cases per day in the NCR [National Capital Region],” OCTA Research Fellow Dr. Guido David said in a GO Negosyo forum on Friday, Jan. 21.

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Guido David (GO NEGOSYO OFFICIAL FACEBOOK PAGE) As the number of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Metro Manila continues to decline, a fellow of the independent research group OCTA projected that the number of cases in the region will further go down to 2,000 by the end of January and around 500 by the end of February. “Based on our estimate, the situation will be highly improved even by the end of the month. The last time the NCR had less than 10,000 cases in one day was exactly two weeks ago on Jan. We’re projecting just a little over 2,000 cases per day in the NCR [National Capital Region],” OCTA Research Fellow Dr. The NCR is still averaging over 13,000 new cases per day, which puts us at critical risk,” said OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said in a GO Negosyo forum on Friday, Jan. David noted that the pattern is similar to what occurred in South Africa, where “a rapid surge [was] followed by a dramatic decrease in infections. 21. This issue, the DOH said, is currently being coordinated with the Epidemiology and Surveillance Units to ensure information is up to date.

“By Valentine’s Day, it could be at less than 1,000 cases. READ: “Residents are advised not to be complacent and still comply strictly with minimum public health standards so as not to prolong the surge of infections,” he added. David also reiterated that the public should not “let their guards down” amid the decrease of COVID-19 cases in the NCR. By the end of February, it could be at around 500 cases. Again, these are very rough projections,” David added. While the COVID-19 growth rates of NCR and nearby provinces have slowed down, OCTA warned that the growth rates of other areas are. He noted that the “decrease of new cases in the NCR is nearly as rapid as the increase during the surge,” which is very similar to what had happened in South Africa where the Omicron variant of COVID-19 was first detected. As of Jan. David recommended that to sustain the rapid decrease, “downgrading to a lower alert level at this time might not be advisable until Metro Manila reaches ‘moderate’ risk. There were 91 duplicates were removed from the total case count.

” The OCTA fellow noted that Metro Manila’s overall COVID-19 risk remains at a “critical” level, which means that “we are still not out of the woods.” Metro Manila had 9,455 new COVID-19 cases on Jan. 20, based on the data of the Department of Health. “We’re still seeing a high reproduction number of 1.58, although this has already decreased [from a peak of 6.5 percent of samples tested and 1.

16 on Jan. 2]. The ADAR [average daily attack rate] is still at a critical level [at 94 cases per 100,000 population] and the positivity rate is still very high [at around 50 percent]. The silver lining here is that the healthcare utilization rate is still less than 60 percent,” David said. “The weekly growth rate is now – (negative) 20 percent.

This means that the number of cases this week is 20 percent fewer than the number of cases during the previous week,” he said. Meanwhile, David said OCTA continued to observe increasing COVID-19 cases in areas outside of Metro Manila. “We are seeing an increase in cases and this should not be surprising because the wave has spread out into other parts of the country. Back on Jan. 11, only about less than 4,000 cases were from outside NCR, Region 4A, and Region 3.

But as of yesterday, almost 12,000 cases were from outside NCR Plus,” he said. “We could see that although there is a noticeable downward trajectory in the NCR and possibly parts of Region 4A, there is now an upward trajectory in other parts of the country,” he added. David advised the public to remain vigilant in following minimum public health protocols to prevent the further spread of COVID-19 infections. .