As countries put lock downs in place earlier this year, the number of Central Americans migrating north dropped. From March to April, arrests on the US-Mexico border plummeted from 30,389 to just over 16,000, before gradually ticking up again, Ebbs and flows in migration are common, but after a pandemic that's taken the lives of thousands in Latin America, border experts expect that upward trend to continue as restrictions in Central America are eased.
"The consensus was that the desire of people to migrate is greater now than it's ever been because of the economic situation," Selee said, drawing on discussions with Latin American officials and organizations."People are making judgments constantly about risk/reward." The head of the United Nations regional body for Latin America and the Carribean, Alicia Bárcena, said in July that poverty in the region was expected to affect"almost 230 million people," adding that"almost 95 million of those are going to be in extreme poverty." since the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic left San Pedro Sula, Honduras and crossed into Guatemala.
Some of those pledges, like repealing regulations that have made seeking asylum in the US exceedingly difficult, could take months. But in the near future, the most urgent challenge for a possible Biden administration might be how to execute on those promises, while acknowledging the potential for a spike in migrants at the US-Mexico border.
"If Biden wins and there's an incoming new administration, they'll have to consider what policy changes they make," Brown said.
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