Knowing the incipient trajectory of the growth curve will give us hints on the potential of the epidemic; from the exponential curve, one can also infer the approximate reproduction number of a disease that measures its transmission potential. It has been established using empirical data, data-driven models, and equation-based models, among others, that during the initial infectious phase of an epidemic the growth of the number of infected individuals follows an exponential curve.
Given the numbers for confirmed cases and tests administered in the last two days, we conjecture thathave not deviated from the trend in previous days . Why? On Saturday, we almost tripled the number of confirmed cases from the day before . However, we also just tripled the number of individuals tested , and yet the ratios between the confirmed cases and number of individuals tested are approximately the same: 272:399 ~ 96/:140 ~ 0.68.
A lot. Our backlog as of March 28, is about 17,000 tests based on the conditions stated above. By March 31, we would need almost 50,000, and by April 3,If it is indeed true that we need about 2-3 test kits per individual suspected of COVID-19, then we need approximately 200,000-300,000 test kits by April 3 to have a better sense of the growth trends of COVID-19 infected individuals in the country.
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Source: manilabulletin - 🏆 25. / 51 Read more »
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Source: CNN Philippines - 🏆 13. / 63 Read more »
COVID-19 test results from RITM out in 5 to 7 days, but not for long, DOH saysEven with a strict protocol on novel coronavirus testing in the Philippines, many patients are still not getting their test results on time. Strict protocol is not applicable to ViPs.. tsk DOHgovph Unless you are VIP
Source: CNN Philippines - 🏆 13. / 63 Read more »
2 more Senate staff test positive for COVID-19Two more employees of the Senate have tested positive for novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19).
Source: manilabulletin - 🏆 25. / 51 Read more »
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Source: rapplerdotcom - 🏆 4. / 86 Read more »
Coronavirus could kill 81,000 in US, subside in June: Washington University analysis'could kill' This means it's fakenews and you should not post this. 'could' is suggestive. Only publish facts, no bullshit.
Source: ABSCBNNews - 🏆 5. / 83 Read more »