The former president endorses a plan to eliminate Nebraska’s congressional district electoral vote allocation. He would.
There was a brief period on the night of Nov. 6, 2012, when it appeared to some people that Barack Obama would win reelection to the White House despite losing the popular vote. This was largely because California hadn’t counted all its votes; Obama would end up not only passing Republican Mitt Romney but winning a majority of votes cast., a weekly dive into the data behind the news.
That 2020 election also ended up hinging on three states, albeit different ones. Take away Joe Biden’s narrow wins in Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin, and you take away his electoral college majority. In fact, you take awayelectoral college victory. Flip those three states and the election ends in a 269-vote-to-269-vote tie. And here you thought the aftermath of 2020 couldn’t be worse.
The effect is that those two states can name electors for each major party’s candidate, but that hasn’t happened much. Nebraskafor the Republican in 2016 and 2020. This was a more accurate reflection of the will of their states’ voters, certainly, but it did very little to affect the imbalance between the national popular- and electoral-vote margins.
We can look at this another way. The chart below shows the Republican popular vote share and electoral vote share over the past century. The dotted line indicates a perfect match between popular vote and electoral vote. No year sits squarely on the line and, the further from 50 percent the popular vote results get, the wider the deviation of the electoral vote proportion from that dotted line.
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