President Macron has said he would consider ordering a French military intervention against Russia in Ukraine if Russian forces secured a 'breakthrough.'
. Yes, a French warship joined South China Sea exercises with the United States and the Philippines last week. But Macron will now fete Xi with a state visit beginning on Sunday. For just one example of why this matters, consider China’s increased access to the French technology sector . Macron claims any technology sharing would be focused on civilian concerns.
Macron knows what every Western intelligence service knows: that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s conquest of Ukraine would inspire his confidence to. The former banker noted that Ukraine’s collapse to Russia would mean “an economic risk for prosperity” and “an existential risk of internal incoherence and disruption to the functioning of our democracies.
Macron’s comments join alongside his recent warning that “Europe clearly faces a moment when it will be necessary not to be cowards.” This was most clearly a message to Germany, which isthe prospect of Donald Trump’s return to the White House. He knows that Trump part deux would mean a U.S. that is potentially less willing to support NATO. While Trump says he wouldof NATO’s eastern flank allies , Macron recognizes that Trump’s patience with European freeloaders such as Spain is likely depleted.
After all, Macron is not talking here about a NATO or U.S.-involved intervention but rather a contingency European coalition of the willing. It isof the 1904 Entente Cordiale agreements were not simply symbolic but also represent shared Anglo-French concerns over the destabilizing security environment in Europe. The U.K. has recently pledged its own
This is not something Vladimir Putin can easily ignore. A significant Anglo-French-Polish military intervention in Ukraine would have the very credible potential of rapidly holding Russian forces in place before destroying Russia’s means of sustaining its offensive ground action. This force would then attempt to exploit Russian command and logistics weaknesses to create exploitable gaps for a counteroffensive.
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