UK could see 120,000 deaths in 'worst-case' second wave

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Britain has seen almost 45,000 fatalities so far in the first wave. FMTNews Covid19

A patient has his temperature taken at Freshney Green Primary Care Centre in Grimsby.

With hospitals also battling seasonal flu cases, a second wave could eclipse the current outbreak resulting in up to 120,000 deaths between September and June next year. The latest predictions are based on an assumption that the R rate – which measures how many people an infected person is expected to infect – rises to 1.7 from September.

Stephen Holgate, who led the study Academy of Medical Sciences study, said the 120,000 figure was “not a prediction but it is a possibility”. The report calls for “intense preparation” this month and next to prevent the country’s state-run National Health Service from being overwhelmed. The government of Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who spent several days in intensive care with Covid-19, has been criticised for an initially relaxed response to the outbreak.

 

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