Global oil demand to hit plateau around 2030, IEA predicts

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Growth rate expected to decrease to 100,000 barrels a day from 1 mil. FMTNews

LONDON: Global oil demand will hit a plateau around 2030 as the use of more efficient cars and electric vehicles ends an expansion that dominated the past century, the International Energy Agency predicts.

“Oil demand plateaus post-2030,” said Fatih Birol, executive director of the Paris-based agency, which advises most major economies.The prospect of “peak demand” has spread in the oil industry in recent years as countries seek to avert catastrophic climate change by diversifying from fossil fuels, and as renewable-energy sources get cheaper.

The report does offer oil producers some solace. Even as demand growth slows, depleting oil reserves will still need to be replaced. After that, the growth rate of 100,000 barrels a day is about half the level the agency predicted in last year’s report, and is concentrated mostly in the aviation, shipping and plastics sectors.The use of more fuel-efficient car engines will knock out 9 million barrels a day of demand, while the growth of electric cars will displace about 4 million a day.

The US will account for 85% of the growth in production worldwide to 2030 as its shale-oil boom continues, according to the IEA.

 

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