COMMENT | Keeping international borders closed is pointless

It's domestic tourism that carries more health risks.

20/10/2021 6:13:00 AM

COMMENT | Keeping international borders closed is pointless

It's domestic tourism that carries more health risks.

, their value diminishes rapidly.They fail for two reasons. First, borders are never completely closed, by design, because it would be both impractical and unsustainable to do so.Domestic safeguardsEven the most vigilant countries, like Australia and New Zealand, have chosen not to close borders despite having the advantage of geographic isolation.

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Second, because borders are not completely shut, domestic safeguards need to be close to perfect but they are not.Domestic protocols can slip, as they have in Australia and New Zealand, leading to breakthrough infections during quarantine.Travel bans are an attempt at completely closing the border to select countries and have been employed, unsuccessfully, with the emergence of each new variant.

By the time they are instituted against countries where the new variant has been spreading, it is simply too late to stop them.Travel bans could work if we could reduce the time taken to determine the risks carried by the new variants, say, from the genetic sequencing alone, but this is not yet possible. Until it is, border measures will not protect us from future variants but improved domestic protocols might.

Therefore, keeping borders closed in the hope that it will protect us from the next variant is futile.Shifting the focusNow that the Delta variant has taken off in Southeast Asia, imported cases make up just a small fraction of total infections.It is small not because border measures are working but because they did not, and therefore failed to keep out a highly transmissible variant that then spread rapidly domestically. Once this happens, the value of border measures relative to domestic restrictions falls sharply.

This suggests that shifting the focus from border to domestic restrictions, for any given health-economy trade-off, would be beneficial.Such a shift would better address economic considerations while providing the best opportunity to contain community spread.

The recalibration should not go too far in restricting domestic mobility or it will deter foreign arrivals.Now that interstate movement has been allowed, the opening of international borders is likely to be more successful in attracting foreign tourists.

Most countries in Europe and North America have also struck this balance and removed quarantine but have not carried out tests on vaccinated travellers from countries with low infection rates.With sufficient healthcare capacity, it is time for Malaysia to do the same.

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The only countries in Southeast Asia that have started opening their borders to non-essential international travel are Singapore and Thailand.Singapore has opened up tomore than 10countries with low infection and high vaccination rates, most of which have reciprocated.

The single most important border policy change that Malaysia and Singapore can do to support economic recovery without risking health is to open up to each other.Thailand has employed the sandbox or ‘micro herd immunity’ approach in the resort islands of Phuket and Koh Samui, opening up unilaterally to a large number of countries.

There have been no community outbreaks linked to international arrivals, although Phuket had toban domestic arrivalsafter a surge in domestically imported cases.The experience from Phuket’s opening highlights the relative risks of domestic versus international travel. It should not be surprising that it is domestic tourism that has been riskier in a country still battling a local outbreak.

There are lessons here for Malaysia, which has opened Langkawi to domestic but not international tourists.Mutual recognition of vaccination certificates and other administrative protocols to open borders unilaterally or with reciprocity can be done expeditiously.

Now that vaccination rates have reached 90 percent, there is no value in waiting to open borders but only costs.JAYANT MENON is visiting senior fellow at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, Singapore, and former lead economist of the Asian Development Bank in Manila.

The views expressed here are those of the author/contributor and do not necessarily represent the views of Malaysiakini. Read more from this author Read more: »

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