Boris Johnson's Brexit plans have been skewered once again after John Bercow blocked a bid to hold a new vote on his deal.
So what on earth has happened, what is Erskine May, what happens now and will we leave the EU by October 31?What has happened today? Boris Johnson tried to put his Brexit deal to a 'clean' yes or no vote - for a second time in three days - but was blocked in a ruling by the House of Commons Speaker. Speaker Bercow said since there's been little change since 48 hours ago, "the motion will not be debated today as it would be repetitive and disorderly to do so."Whatever happened, the PM's Brexit deal still would still have to be agreed by Parliament through a law called the Withdrawal Agreement Bill .
This is a risky moment - as MPs can vote to take control of the agenda, denying the government the opportunity to bring the WAB to its next stage. Remind me, what happened on Saturday again? Boris Johnson put forward a motion to give a green or red light to his Brexit deal. It says on page 397: “A motion or an amendment which is the same, in substance, as a question which has been decided during a session may not be brought forward again during that same session.”
How significant or shocking is Speaker Bercow's ruling? Not very significant and not very shocking - despite what Brexiteers might claim. And David T C Davies fumed: “[Your rulings] always seem to favour one side of the argument and never the government." These are likely to be on whether to add a customs union, a second referendum and to extend transitional arrangements with the EU to prevent the UK crashing out in 2020.
And secondly, a final decision on whether to delay Brexit hasn't been made yet - it's in 27 EU leaders' hands. But every day makes it less likely that deal will be approved in Westminster, and Brussels before the end of the month. They are certainly annoyed to have their own plans disrupted yet again, but very few people seriously expect the EU to say no if a request comes in.The big question is how long an extension would be. Would they grant just two weeks of "technical" extension to allow the withdrawal bill legislation to pass through Parliament?
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