Larry Donnelly: If luck and timing count in politics, then both are in Trump's favour for November

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Buttigeg, Bloomberg and Trump were the winners in Iowa, writes Larry Donnelly from Boston.

Larry Donnelly Law lecturer, NUI Galway EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED is an oft-employed maxim and one that suits the election campaigns in Ireland and the United States equally well at the moment.My jaw, however, really dropped to the floor as I digested the findings of an opinion poll that nobody envisaged coming this year. It is downright extraordinary that, by at least one measure, Sinn Féin has emerged as the most popular political party in Ireland just a few days ahead of a general election.

At any rate, a fascinating weekend awaits me on the other side of the Atlantic. And in truth, the verdict of the Irish electorate might provoke more questions than it answers.But returning to the contest for the Democratic presidential nomination. Monday’s speculation focused on 1) whether Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders would prove the polls correct and prevail, 2) which hopeful would finish next and 3) whose White House aspirations would be most badly damaged there.

Nothing works, just like they ran the Country. Remember the 5 Billion Dollar Obamacare Website, that should have cost 2% of that. It is not the fault of Iowa, it is the Do-Nothing Democrats’ fault. And the man who won more than 97% on the Republican side had a point in his punctuating comment: The mayor of neighbouring South Bend, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg, exceeded expectations and, it can be cogently contended, is the de facto victor.

This will be somewhat overshadowed by the aforementioned problems now dominating the headlines, but Biden needs to reassure his backers and donors by doing considerably better in New Hampshire prior to heading to more favourable states like Nevada and South Carolina, where he is polling well ahead of the pack.

Bloomberg is spending a fortune on saturating the airwaves with television ads touting that his background as an enormously successful businessman means that he is the only one who can rightfully claim the non-political, outsider, “can-do” mantle for himself.

 

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'Journos' at the Journal on suicide watch

Trump is just a winner. They should add him to mount Rushmore

Yes. Head from a retired pro that he thinks the Donald will be re-elected. 😳

The democrats would prefer to lose to Trump than disappoint their corporate donors.

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