When the boxes are opened and the votes are counted after polling day on 8 February, the answers to a number of questions will become clear.
More significantly, even if promises made during the campaign are made in full sincerity, many of them simply cannot become reality. This scenario has set up the mother of all battles between Fine Gael's Mícheál Carrigy and Fianna Fáil's Joe Flaherty to become the Longford TD. Another candidate in a ‘stay or go’ scenario is Sinn Féin's candidate in Meath East. If councillor Darren O'Rourke manages to unseat one of the three outgoing TDs, he will be heading to Leinster House as a TD.
In 2016 Fianna Fáil got the upper hand here with Aindrias Moynihan and Michael Moynihan winning two seats and Fine Gael's Michael Creed taking the other one. Election 2020 will be the first time since 1997 that Martin Ferris' name will not be on the ballot paper in Kerry. He’s in a battle with Fianna Fáil's Norma Foley. Other Sinn Féin retirees include Gerry Adams, Caoimhghín Ó Caoiláin and Jonathan O’Brien, and the party will face a particular battle to hold Adams’ seat in Louth. From the former TD who famously said "F**K you deputy Stagg!" to the man on the receiving end of that insult ; a number of former TDs are bidding to make a Dáil comeback on 8 February.
From former cabinet ministers like Mary Hanafin to Billy Timmins, who is back in the Fine Gael party fold after contesting the last election for Renua, can they make a comeback?In 2016 the new Social Democrats party went into the election with three outgoing TDs – Roisín Shortall, Catherine Murphy and Stephen Donnelly. Following the departure of Mr Donnelly, the party fights this election with two outgoing TDs. Some commentators believe they will not add to this total on 8 February.
But Green candidate Neasa Hourigan and Fianna Fáil’s Mary Fitzpatrick will also be battling for the remaining two seats.Over in Dublin Bay North, independent TDs Finian McGrath and Tommy Broughan have also bowed out of politics. This gives Social Democrats candidate Cian O’Callaghan a better chance in that five-seat constituency.
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