This translation has been automatically generated and has not been verified for accuracy.In the next year, between 11,000 and 22,000 Canadians could die as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, in what officials say are among the best-case scenarios for the disease.
In reading the models, Canada’s Chief Public Health Officer, Dr. Theresa Tam, has warned they are not a “crystal ball,” and instead serve to inform decision makers about where they need to put resources, the health system’s capacity to respond to the virus, and what other measures need to be put in place to limit further limit transmission.
The potential 11,000 to 22,000 range in deaths is based on an overall infection rate of between 2.5 and 5 per cent. Dr. Tam said the models released by Ottawa show the first wave of the virus and warned that even when Canada is over the peak of the outbreak, some restrictions will need to stay in place to ensure the epidemic doesn’t “reignite."
globepolitics You do realize a lockdown won’t end the pandemic? It only stretches it out longer to avoid overwhelming the healthcare system. The pandemic will only end with a vaccine (which can take 12-15 years) or herdimmunity which is probably inevitable.
globepolitics You and selfie boy should go back and hide in the cottage until you have something useful to say , instead of this crap your shoving down our throats ever day
globepolitics Danish research suggests up to 70x people are infected as test positive, which correlates to a fatality rate of .03%. Every single person in Canada would have to get infected to reach 11,000 deaths, which means that is our absolute ceiling. About 8000 die of flu yearly.
globepolitics any reliability and only premature and amateurish. how come they mention 22,000 deaths.korea government starts everyday briefing with sorry and condolences for total 200 deaths for last 3months.their total infection is around 10,000 out of over 50mil residences.shame on you.
globepolitics The same modeling they have been using for the climate change crap. Tam has been wrong every step of the way.get rid of the clueless bitch.
globepolitics Until when though? How long do you want people locked up indoors? How are they going to make it from day to day. Sitting in isolation doing nothing will not solve the problem. Visual Leadership now is necessary. Stop hiding. Canada cdnpoli Trudeau
globepolitics
globepolitics TamLies
globepolitics Well we simply can't keep doing what we're doing. There will undoubtedly be a higher loss of life.
globepolitics I believe we need coordinated nationwide covid-19 testing now. This will help us identify and isolate those who are positive and those who have come into contact with them. I believe this is crucial to preparing and predicting our fight against covid-19.
globepolitics “Social distancing” did not change the death projection from 100-250K to 60K in 2 weeks in the US. Canadian numbers are also wrong. What is at fault here is the modelling and politicizing. These numbers are hardly at pandemic levels.
globepolitics Closing down the economy and society is no way to handle a pandemic.
globepolitics This prediction will be way high, just like all the other ones.
globepolitics I wonder what the Lego model is saying? Interesting how models work in backtesting but often not when live.
globepolitics Is this over two years or two months? Ages and of the dead with preexisting conditions who were terminally ill? Canadians need to know why their business health and lives have been destroyed.
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