The Doug Ford factor looms large in the federal election
Doug Ford may have kept his promise to stay out of the federal election spotlight, but it was inevitable that he would be front and centre anyway.
Sign up for our Election Dispatch newsletter for a daily campaign update"He's Premier Bogeyman," said Scott Reid, a former adviser to Liberal prime minister Paul Martin. "For the Liberals that means he's a walking, talking, sometimes shouting, example to voters in Ontario of what you'll get federally if you vote for Andrew Scheer."
Ford's Progressive Conservatives won a majority government last summer after a campaign full of populist promises such as cheaper gas, buck-a-beer and lower taxes. But his cuts to services and programs like legal aid, student loans, tree planting and public health have angered many in the province.
Recent polling has his approval ratings in the 20s and 30s, and Abacus Data found in July that 65 per cent of Ontarians had a negative impression of Ford, up from 48 per cent last October.Trudeau has been suggesting that Ford and Scheer are one in the same, saying often that Conservatives promise to be "for the people" -- a nod to Ford's campaign slogan -- but make cuts once in office.
"Exhibit A? Doug Ford," Trudeau said Wednesday. "Larger classes for your kids and less support for your communities. That's the real cost of buck-a-beer. And now, Andrew Scheer wants Canadians to double down on Conservative politicians like Doug Ford."
The Liberals have also pledged to fund programs that Ford's government cut, including the tree-planting program and refugee and immigration legal aid services. Trudeau also waded into a labour dispute between the province and its education workers earlier this week, holding a photo op with teachers on a day that schools were set to close due to a strike that was averted at the last minute.
Amanda Galbraith, a principal at communications firm Navigator and a former Conservative staffer, said the Liberals need to demonize someone to whip up their base and motivate voters, and Ford has a higher profile than Scheer in Ontario."I think you're going to see the prime minister campaign against the premier and not the Opposition leader, which I think says a lot about how he feels about his chances against campaigning head to head with that Opposition leader," she said.
Scheer has not appeared with Ford -- or mentioned the premier's name -- during the campaign. He has said that he is ready to run against Trudeau, but the Liberal leader is desperate to run against anyone other than him."You seem to be oddly obsessed with provincial politics," Scheer told Trudeau during Monday's debate. "There is a vacancy for the Ontario Liberal leadership and if you're so focused on provincial politics, go and run for the leadership of that party."
Ford has been noticeably absent from the public eye, making himself available to answer journalists' questions just once since the election campaign began on Sept. 11. The legislature was supposed to return from a summer break in early September, but Ford recessed it until after the election. His office doesn't release his itineraries, but his social media posts show him making only a handful of public appearances, largely at community barbecues and parties.
That is in stark contrast to Alberta Premier Jason Kenney, who has been actively campaigning for Scheer, including in Ford's own west-Toronto stomping grounds.Ford's poll numbers are just one factor why Scheer is not campaigning arm-in-arm with him, said Galbraith. The Conservatives need to define Scheer as his own person, she said.
Barry Kay, a political science professor at Wilfrid Laurier University, said voters don't yet have a strong sense of Scheer."In Ontario, people don't know who he is, and that's given the Liberals the opportunity to tie him to a very unpopular premier," he said.
David Coletto, the CEO of Abacus Data, said not only is Ford a factor in Ontario, but nationally. Abacus did some recent polling on the profile of several premiers, and while most Canadians said they didn't know enough about the premiers of Alberta, British Columbia and Quebec, just 10 per cent said they didn't know enough to form an opinion of Ford -- and 54 had a negative impression.
"You compare Doug Ford to even the four major party leaders federally, he is more unpopular nationally than any of them," Coletto said.Provincially, Ford has lost the support of about 15 per cent of those who voted for him last year, Coletto's polling has found. Federally, there is a slice of about 10 per cent of voters who supported Ford in the last Ontario election but voted Liberal in the last federal election.
"The sheer unpopularity of the premier with those kind of key swing voters...that's the key group," Coletto said. "They have been for the most part turned off by a lot of what Doug Ford has done. He may get them back in time for his election, but I'm not sure he's helping Andrew Scheer right now."
RELATED IMAGESOntario Premier Doug Ford leaves a press conference at the Toronto Police College in Toronto, Friday, Aug. 23, 2019. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Cole Burston Read more: CTV News »
In Justin’s mind, if you could call it a mind Isn’t he running against trudeau? Now do 4 years of useless Trudeau policies, fraud taxes, wasted spending, and elitist hypocritical ideology. Ever notice how not one politician is depicting Scheer? Thats because Ford is sinking his own bosses election into the ground on purpose because Ford thinks has a shot at becoming the leader of the party with Kenny by his side, such good somaritans.
Boy CTV really biased, we no who Trudeau is paying off. How much of the $600 million did you get. Doug Ford has kept in the back ground only you people keep bringing it up. I guess his backwardness (just maniac) ruthless opportunism with kids! NeverScheer FordsBestFriend The GDP per capita in Norway is approx. $72,000 per year, Canada's is approx. $48,000. Both countries have small populations and lots of natural resources. The difference in Canada is lack of leadership.
Ford for PM! voteford 600 million will buy a guy this kind of corrupt reporting!!! Maybe in Ontario? All the drug dealers in my high school faded away. Don’t you mean Dork Ford? That's been ridiculously overplayed by Turd jr. And the media. uspoli cdnpoli pnpcbc UKpolitics auspol polcan eupol nzpol CTVpp elxn43
Here's why !!! Only because the media have kept the Ford factor front and centre. This is the truth!! What loons large is the extremely biased media. One that supports misogynistic and racist behaviour. Ford has been the scapegoat for Trudeau's failed leadership too long. It is time for Ontario to get rid of Trudeau and they can make a decision on Ford next provincial election
Until Scheer unveils his platform, criticism that his campaign mirrors Ford's (who made all sorts of cuts not mentioned in his campaign) is fair play. *How* is Scheer going to secure a 9,000 Km long border? PM wannabes cost their policy promises in their platforms. Yeah, no it doesn’t the biggest factor looming is TrudeauBlackface and his Racist Liberals.
government and jobs and they where into kiddy porn and kidnapping kids and the McKay family where kidnapping my wife Ericka Parlee and she is pragrent with my child and they where trying to kill it Jason McKay Shawn McKay Nic Cannon killed his 2 kids and shediac cops is looking involved our prim Minster of Canada is involved and Claudette Bradshaw and her family is involved and the Barb kennah her husband is involved Cannon. Family is involved the McKay is involved they liberals where buying peoples votes and they where in stealing money from the
am Jerry I have a few things I have to say about our government Nicholas LeBlanc and Janelle LeBlanc Austin Goguen there mother is Odette Goguen Her kids have stolen government stuff of mind and my baby girl stuff too and the liberals are involved and the Donald Trump is It does but not the way you think:
Nah, Doug is fine. M.I.A. Doug the slimeball Ford
Sparks fly over climate change, environment in federal leaders’ debateClimate change was just one of the five topics, but it was at the very centre for leaders who debated whether their opponents are taking the issue seriously enough. CanadaDebates2019 Hey all for climate change & spending all our $$ on it only if it can extend summer & shorten winter, yes change. In debate people talk over each other & people cannot hear points. Should be 1 person speaking Fear based politics have taken over Canada. Be responsible and fix our economy. Vote MaximeBernier and the PPC. elx43 PPC2019 cdnpoli canpoli FederalElection Debatenight
Democratic and Republican senators warn of foreign social media meddling in electionThe recommendations came in an 85-page report issued by the Senate Intelligence Committee, which has been investigating Russia’s large-scale effort to interfere in the 2016 presidential election 🤥🤡🌎
U.S. senators warn of foreign interference, social media meddling in electionThe recommendations came in an 85-page report issued by the U.S. Senate Intelligence Committee, which has been investigating Russia's large-scale effort to interfere in the 2016 presidential election. The bots on social media don't vote so it is the American people that need to be educated on fake news and social media posts . We all knew social media was going to change the world with the way it influences society and provides a platform to radicals and extremists .
Federal Election 2019: Compare the party platformsCTVNews.ca has been compiling promises made by the six major parties in one place. We will update these lists as we become aware of new and altered commitments throughout the federal election campaign. All parties except the PPC will continue to import the third world at the fastest pace the world has ever seen. Canada will become a third world country by importing half the populations of Somalia, Syria and Pakistan.
Environics Analytics: Which voters see climate change as a critical issue in the upcoming federal election?To understand which voters are most likely to be receptive or opposed to climate-friendly initiatives, Environics Analytics has done analysis on segments of the population. Read Environics VP Rupen Seoni's blog on election.ctvnews.ca. 'Which voters see climate change as a critical issue in the upcoming federal election?' The ones who think raises taxes will alter the climate.
Federal election 2019 roundup: Scheer announces subway funding in GTAIn this live story, we’ll be tracking the campaign news as it happens Um, but he’s not willing to do a much needed Green Line here in Cowtown....his bastion of support...UGH...nobodytovotefor canadafails How are you going to pay for the Toronto subway, Mr Scheer? With your magic money machine? Toronto should pay for their own subway. Canada will go even more broke with you in power. Not getting my vote. AndrewScheer is on a roll! This is great news for people of the GTA. I will very much enjoy taking the new subway lines to visit ROMtoronto and other museums of national interest, all admission free! CPC_HQ have my vote on Oct. 21.