Russia has options it could pursue short of a full-blown invasion, and other ways to lash out at the U.S. and its allies, all of which carry varying degrees of risk.
Story continues below advertisement7:13The China factorU.S. officials have said they don’t think Russia would launch an invasion as President Xi Jinping presides over the opening of the Winter Olympics in Beijing. “The Chinese are not going to be pleased if their Olympics are disrupted by war,” Gorenburg said. Putin plans to travel to Beijing to attend the opening of the games, as U.S. and European leaders sit it out to protest human rights abuses.
One theory among Russia watchers is that China is intently following the U.S. and European response over Ukraine to gauge what might happen if it were to move against Taiwan. Hodges sees that as a risk. “If we, with our combined diplomatic and economic power plus military power, cannot stop the president of the Russian Federation from doing something that is so obviously illegal and wrong and aggressive then I don’t think President Xi is going to be too impressed with anything that we say about Taiwan or the South China Sea.”Read more: Globalnews.ca »
Maclean's - September 2022
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He over played his hand this time. He misjudged the global reaction. Nobody is in the mood to be bullied.
Russia says it does not want a war with Ukraine as standoff continues - National | Globalnews.caU.S. President Joe Biden warned Ukraine ’s leader Thursday that there is a “distinct possibility” that Russia could take military action against the former Soviet state in February. There will be all kinds of threatening gestures, but Russia will not invade Ukraine. 6 reasons why Russia won't invade Ukraine People, in Kiev are laughing at us. Not even a sniff of war going on there. In other words,we'll find a reason why it's your fault.
Russia, China testing American commitments to the independence of Ukraine and TaiwanThe value of American commitments and those of its allies, including Canada, to the independence of Ukraine and Taiwan is what is being tested by Russia and China. In any worthwhile endeavour, committing to a relationship means doing whatever it takes to establish a secure base and to resolve any problems that threaten the security, safety, and well-being of the relationship. With respectful assertiveness we ultimately define our commitment
Domestic politics in play in Canada’s posturing on Ukraine and RussiaOne argument that our politicians will not talk about is that their gusto for Ukraine might have to do with Canadian domestic politics. So what was her purpose of going to Ukraine? ...Canada is doing nothing in the end oh accept a word salad towards Putin 'posturing'? Beyond special interpretation: The government's words and body language display resolve. This was not unexpected, they are aware of the details and the consequences of going to war.
Russia won't start a war in Ukraine, says foreign minister | CBC NewsSergei Lavrov says Moscow will not start a war in Ukraine , but warned that it wouldn't allow the West to trample on its security interests, amid fears it is planning to invade its neighbour. USA to Moscow “Repent and Kneel” (as invoked in Belarus! Belarus leader tells opposition leaders: 'Repent and kneel' ) UN POTUS Russia mfa_russia EUCouncil UKParliament BBCWorld cnni cnnbrk nytimes washingtonpost Like Hitler had to start ww2 because of Polish aggression on the border September 39
Russia-Ukraine crisis: Severe sanctions could trigger crippling Moscow responseThe U.S. is threatening painful sanctions against Russia if it attacks Ukraine . But Moscow could use its oil and gas to inflict economic pain on the West.
Nord Stream 2 pipeline a sanctions option if Russia invades Ukraine: German envoyGermany's ambassador to Canada says a controversial gas pipeline that links to Russia beneath the Baltic Sea could be part of a broader package of sanctions should Russia invade Ukraine . Where is CTV? C’mon man...Without gas from Russia (that isn’t being stolen by Ukraine - to go with the huge “loans” from the west) Germany and the rest of Europe will freeze their private parts...after their industries collapse.
Biden warns Ukraine of Russian invasion in February: ‘distinct possibility’ Cyberattacks There’s no doubt Russia has the capability to conduct significant cyberattacks in Ukraine and around the world, and would almost certainly do so again as part of any operation against its neighbor.Canada’s Ukraine support questioned amid Russia standoff.The United States political system, now led by President Joe Biden, has been battered by a series of lost and inconclusive wars, writes Gar Pardy.Foreign Minister Mélanie Joly just spent a week in Ukraine meeting with the Ukrainian officials to demonstrate, as she put it, 'Canada’s unwavering solidarity in the ongoing crisis,' adding shortly thereafter that 'Canada’s position has not changed.
The Department of Homeland Security warned law enforcement agencies on Jan. 23 that Russia would consider initiating a cyberattack on the U. While he described the U.S. Canada, along with other allies, have similar political obligations., including possible actions against critical infrastructure, if it perceived the response to an invasion of Ukraine “threatened its long-term national security. offers as reasonable, he emphasized that Russia’s main concerns are to stop both NATO’s expansion and the deployment of the alliance weapons near Russia’s borders.” Story continues below advertisement Russia is the suspected culprit in a 2015 hack against the Ukraine power grid. The U.
Hackers this month temporarily shut down government websites in Ukraine, underscoring how cybersecurity remains a pivotal concern in the standoff with Russia. “It will be hard for them to wiggle out from answering why they aren’t fulfilling the obligations sealed by their leaders not to strengthen their security at the expense of others,” he said. Only $7. “Whatever the size and scale and nature of their ground and air attacks, cyber will be a big part of anything they do,” warns Hodges. The risk to the world is that hostile activity against Ukraine could spread, as the cyberattack known as notPetya did to devastating effect in 2017. Story continues below advertisement Several senior U. The downside to Russia is the U. Cancel anytime.S. officials also said Thursday that Germany would not allow a newly constructed pipeline — which is meant to bring gas directly from Russia — to begin operations if Russia invades Ukraine. We are a war averse people.
and other nations have the power to retaliate, as Biden warned Putin in June. “He knows there are consequences,” Biden said. While Moscow and the West are mulling their next steps, NATO said it was bolstering its deterrence in the Baltic Sea region, and the U. 7:13 Ukraine president Zelenskiy says threat from Russia is ‘constant’ but does not want panic Ukraine president Zelenskiy says threat from Russia is ‘constant’ but does not want panic The China factor China isn’t a direct player in the standoff over Ukraine, but it plays a role. Observers have warned that Moscow could respond to Washington’s rejection of its security demands by bolstering military ties with China. ordered 8,500 troops on higher alert for potential deployment to Europe. Russia and China have held a series of joint war games, including naval drills and patrols by long-range bombers over the Sea of Japan and the East China Sea. Enjoy unlimited website access and the digital newspaper.
Story continues below advertisement U.S.S. officials have said they don’t think Russia would launch an invasion as President Xi Jinping presides over the opening of the Winter Olympics in Beijing. Russian troops have also headed to Belarus for sweeping joint drills, raising Western fears that Moscow could stage an attack on Ukraine from the north. “The Chinese are not going to be pleased if their Olympics are disrupted by war,” Gorenburg said. Putin plans to travel to Beijing to attend the opening of the games, as U. Despite the alarming rhetoric, Ukrainian officials have repeatedly tried to project calm.
S. and European leaders sit it out to protest human rights abuses. Story continues below advertisement “We haven’t observed any events or actions of military character that significantly differ from what was going on last spring,” with the exception of the deployment to Belarus, Reznikov said. Read more: Diplomats should stay in Ukraine despite destabilization threats, president says One theory among Russia watchers is that China is intently following the U.S. Biden warned Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Thursday’s call that the U. and European response over Ukraine to gauge what might happen if it were to move against Taiwan.
Hodges sees that as a risk. believed there was a high degree of likelihood that Russia could invade when the ground freezes and Russian forces could attack Ukrainian territory from north of Kyiv, according to two people familiar with the conversation who were not authorized to comment publicly. “If we, with our combined diplomatic and economic power plus military power, cannot stop the president of the Russian Federation from doing something that is so obviously illegal and wrong and aggressive then I don’t think President Xi is going to be too impressed with anything that we say about Taiwan or the South China Sea.” A Russian buildup in Latin America Senior Russian officials have warned that Moscow could deploy troops or military assets to Cuba and Venezuela. Following the 2014 ouster of a Kremlin-friendly president in Kyiv, Moscow annexed Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula and backed an insurgency in the country’s eastern industrial heartland. The threats are vague, though Russia does have close ties to both countries as well as Nicaragua. U. — Associated Press writers Yuras Karmanau in Kyiv, Ukraine, and Nomaan Merchant in Washington contributed to this report.
S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan dismissed the idea, and experts in the region and around the world view it as a strategy that probably wouldn’t accomplish much, other than to divert Russian forces needed elsewhere, and thus is unlikely to happen. Story continues below advertisement A more likely scenario is that Russia steps up its already extensive propaganda and misinformation efforts to sharpen divisions in Latin America and elsewhere, including the United States. 2:59 Russia ramps up more military strength along Ukraine’s border as diplomatic talks stall Russia ramps up more military strength along Ukraine’s border as diplomatic talks stall A diplomatic solution It’s not a foregone conclusion that the standoff ends in an invasion. While the Biden administration said it would not concede to Russia’s security demands, there still seems to be some room for diplomacy.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Thursday that the U.S. response “gives hope for the start of a serious conversation on secondary questions.” France, Germany, Ukraine and Russia have agreed to sit down for talks in two weeks, an effort aimed at reviving a 2015 agreement to ease the conflict in eastern Ukraine. Some fear this complicates efforts by the U.
S. and NATO to show a united front against Russia. Story continues below advertisement A stand-down may be good for the world but could come at a cost for Putin, Russian journalist Yulia Latynina warned in a New York Times essay on Friday. She said the Russian president may have used his troop buildup as a bluff, hoping to compel the U.S.
and Europe to relinquish any intention of closer ties to Ukraine. “Instead of trapping the United States, Mr. Putin has trapped himself,” she wrote. “Caught between armed conflict and a humiliating retreat, he is now seeing his room for maneuver dwindling to nothing.” Isachenkov reported from Moscow.