Canada needs a new prescription for the pandemic recession - Macleans.ca

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Opinion: This is not a 'normal' recession and conventional stimulus like lower rates and government spending won't help with this crisis

People shop at HomeSense in Toronto, Ont., on May 30, 2020, as stores begin to reopen during the COVID-19 pandemic.

A “normal” recession usually features a reduction in what economists call aggregate demand. Business investment in plant and equipment, and household consumption of things like autos and appliances, fall sharply. Employment losses are spread across many sectors but only a small fraction of the labour force ends up losing their jobs.

But this is just the opening act. No one is predicting that the virus will be finished with us soon. Governments have to begin shifting from the immediate crisis response to their longer-run policy program. What should that look like? But the amount of capital being destroyed by the virus today is so large that it threatens the survival of whole sectors of the economy.

 

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