Analyzing the early returns from the Blue Jays’ unorthodox defensive experiment - Sportsnet.ca

2022-05-25 7:17:00 PM

The Blue Jays aren't usually leaders in innovative on-field strategy, but they're beginning to stand out with their use of the four-man outfield. While the sample size is small, the early returns are intriguing.

The Blue Jays aren't usually leaders in innovative on-field strategy, but they're beginning to stand out with their use of the four-man outfield. While the sample size is small, the early returns are intriguing. NickAshbourne dives in. 👇

The Blue Jays aren't usually leaders in innovative on-field strategy, but they're beginning to stand out with their use of the four-man outfield. While the sample size is small, the early returns are intriguing.

7.65%While it’s far from the team’s most common defensive alignment, it’s become an important card up the Blue Jays’ sleeve — and they’re by far the league’s biggest proponents of the unorthodox defence. Only six teams haven’t tried it in 2022, and the other five have combined to throw fewer pitches with a four-man outfield (289) than the Blue Jays.

If Toronto is going to be an extreme outlier on the 3-4 defence, it’s worth asking how effective that’s been. The sample is small, but the overall numbers aren’t particularly encouraging. Of the 80 balls in play with a four-man outfielder, 29 have fallen in for hits — good for a .363 BABIP.

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NickAshbourne I’d prefer they didn’t do it. Analytics is killing baseball.

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Picks and Predictions: Goldschmidt Leads Redbirds to VictoryThe Toronto Blue Jays and the St. Louis Cardinals will wrap up their abbreviated two\u002Dgame series at Busch Stadium on Tuesday night.

Blue Jays' offensive struggles continue in walk-off loss to CardinalsThe season is long, and the Toronto Blue Jays remain in playoff position despite their recent struggles, but bigger picture questions surround this underperforming Blue Jays offence. Their hitters are experienced enough to be trusted, young enough to be at their physical peak and healthy. But one year after leading the American League in home runs and OPS, they’re struggling – especially lately. bnicholsonsmith Little League Manager needs to go along with 4 hitting coaches. It gone on too long and changes needed. bnicholsonsmith Time for a shakeup. Need a reliable left handed bat. Go get one. bnicholsonsmith bluejays Who the hell can absorb input from THREE hitting coaches plus way too much in-game tablet data and NOT go to the plate with their head full of WAY too many things to think about? Dump 2 coaches, restrict in-game tablets, get centred & go hunting.

William Watson: Shades of Tory blue: mauve, indigo, tealPolitical coalitions do need a dominant colour\u003B the Tories are all blue\u002Dish, but they combine many different shades of blue

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Picks and Predictions: Goldschmidt Leads Redbirds to VictoryThe Toronto Blue Jays and the St. Louis Cardinals will wrap up their abbreviated two\u002Dgame series at Busch Stadium on Tuesday night.

Blue Jays' offensive struggles continue in walk-off loss to CardinalsThe season is long, and the Toronto Blue Jays remain in playoff position despite their recent struggles, but bigger picture questions surround this underperforming Blue Jays offence. Their hitters are experienced enough to be trusted, young enough to be at their physical peak and healthy. But one year after leading the American League in home runs and OPS, they’re struggling – especially lately. bnicholsonsmith Little League Manager needs to go along with 4 hitting coaches. It gone on too long and changes needed. bnicholsonsmith Time for a shakeup. Need a reliable left handed bat. Go get one. bnicholsonsmith bluejays Who the hell can absorb input from THREE hitting coaches plus way too much in-game tablet data and NOT go to the plate with their head full of WAY too many things to think about? Dump 2 coaches, restrict in-game tablets, get centred & go hunting.

390 7.This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.More Details But the Blue Jays couldn’t add on any further, and they were unable to take advantage of the ghost runner placed on second base to open the top of the tenth.Back to video We in the MSM (mainstream media), which is what some of those on the farther right call even this page, are accustomed to advising Conservatives to move to the centre to pick up votes, clearly forgetting there are now potential gains on their right flank, too.

65% While it’s far from the team’s most common defensive alignment, it’s become an important card up the Blue Jays’ sleeve — and they’re by far the league’s biggest proponents of the unorthodox defence. Only six teams haven’t tried it in 2022, and the other five have combined to throw fewer pitches with a four-man outfield (289) than the Blue Jays. Louis bullpen should play a major role in keeping this game beneath the total on Tuesday night. If Toronto is going to be an extreme outlier on the 3-4 defence, it’s worth asking how effective that’s been. Their hitters are experienced enough to be trusted, young enough to be at their physical peak and healthy. The sample is small, but the overall numbers aren’t particularly encouraging. He figures to use Andre Pallante or Drew VerHagen, either of which would seem to be a solid choice. Of the 80 balls in play with a four-man outfielder, 29 have fallen in for hits — good for a . Advertisement 3 This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.

363 BABIP. VerHagen has been called upon for length out of the bullpen, and his last four appearances (6 1-3 innings) have been clean. “We just took two of three from Seattle and two of three from Cincinnati, but it feels like ‘what just happened?’ We’re winning games, we’re just winning with defence and pitching. That sounds grim, but it’s not a fair way to judge the alignment because it doesn’t take into account what would’ve happened if the Blue Jays were playing a more conventional defence instead. Digging through footage of all of these hits, it’s clear that there are only three that straight-up positioning was significantly more likely to convert into outs. Helsley has been particularly impressive in 2022, notching 13 scoreless appearances in a row. Exhibit A Exhibit B Exhibit C If we posit that this exotic positioning cost the Blue Jays three singles this season, the question becomes what it took away from opposing offences. More often than not, they’re playing with little room for error, scoring three or fewer runs in 24 of their 42 games including/through Monday. In order to find that we sorted liners and flyballs with an xBA of at least . Gallegos would have a 0. Remember the Liberals’ anti-Harper ads in 2006: “Soldiers with guns.

500 against the 3-4 that became outs. Using that criteria, there are at least four potential extra-base hits the Blue Jays have saved with their extra outfielders. Advertisement 9 This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. • Entering play Monday, the Blue Jays ranked 28th among the 30 teams with a 78 wRC+ in May. There’s some level of subjectivity in determining what three outfielders could and could not reach, but the xBA serves as a guide, and so does the film. There are a few ways the 3-4 has eaten up hits for Toronto so far. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. One is balls hit hard into the meat of the gap, only to find an outfielder right there.235/.e.

Exhibit A – 100. Teoscar Hernandez — an All-Star in 2021 — has been flailing in May, producing a .2 mph Exhibit B 103.0 mph Those are the type of balls you’d expect a four-man outfield to swallow up. Prediction : Under 7.651 OPS.  It’s also effective against some less obvious flies. For example, this 100. Goldschmidt was the hero on Monday thanks to his 10th-inning grand slam. But that gets you maybe 20,000 votes across the country.

4 mph drive by Joey Gallo looks routine, but Santiago Espinal is only able to play that close to the right-field corner because he has a teammate in right-centre. “I’m just moving people around because at the end of the day it’s guys getting hot,” Montoyo said. Against a traditional setup, there’s a good chance that’s past the right fielder for extra bases. He’s punishing pitchers at the plate this month, authoring a . Lastly, having more manpower out there gives a team more protection against balls that are hit extremely hard, almost regardless of where they are. When opposing hitters barrel up the ball there is less time to react, and outfielders simply can’t cover much ground. “Goldy” has had success in limited tries against Gausman, going 2-for-4 with a tater. And Espy’s put himself there, but it doesn’t mean he’s going to hit second all the time. When there’s less ground to cover, though, it’s possible to make plays on a laser — like this one from Kyle Tucker.

That ball had an .474) against relievers Yimi Garcia, David Phelps, and Trevor Richards.890 xBA, giving Springer almost no time to get to the spot.1 innings and allowing three runs, two of which scored on a single Adam Cimber allowed. While it wasn’t that far from where he’d normally be playing in centre field, it travelled so fast that it’s hard to imagine him reaching it. It will be difficult to pitch around him, and he should come through in the clutch on Tuesday night. There’s simply no room for error on a play like this, and having Springer ever so slightly further into the gap may have made all the difference.  Because of the small sample it’s far too early to call the Blue Jays’ four-man outfields a roaring success or dismal failure, but the early signs are at least intriguing. Louis native David Phelps entered in the bottom of the tenth.

Any strategy that’s willing to concede the occasional single in exchange for robbing doubles has a good chance to be effective over the long term — even if there are occasional moments of frustration. More from Sportsnet .