A 338Canada projection: If proportional representation was real - Macleans.ca

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Philippe J. Fournier: How would this tight election end if Trudeau had kept his electoral reform promise? With three powerful parties, for starters.

We stand only days away from the 43rd Canadian federal election, an election that will be held under the first-past-the-post electoral system, despite what Liberal candidate Justin Trudeau promised Canadians almost four years ago to the day.

Seats are allocated to parties proportionally to the popular vote share they win per region, rounded to the closest integer. A minimum threshold of 5 per cent of the popular vote in a given region is needed for a party to receive a share of seats, meaning if a party doesn’t reach 5 per cent within a region, it receives zero seats and its popular vote share will be ignored in the calculation. The three territories—Yukon, Northwest Territories and Nunavut—remain with FPTP.

The NDP would win on average 61 seats—more or less double where its current projection stands under FPTP. The Bloc Québécois, currently projected at close to 30 per cent of support in Quebec, would win 24 seats on average—just under a third of the province’s seats.

 

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Qc_125 It's going to take a leader with integrity and conviction to follow through on a promise to get rid of first past the post. JustinTrudeau has neither. Why would a leader,elected by a broken system change that system,if it got him elected? JTs only convictions will be criminal!

Qc_125 Common sense tells you, what Trudeau did and said didn't match. Canadian Youth are looking for a future and a direction. All Trudeau had was social ideologies.. At the end of the day, ideologies don't pay the rent, tuition fee's or groceries.

Canadian Electoral Reform Public Opinion on Possible Alternatives

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