UK’s autumn Covid wave could be worse than the last as cases rise

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There is a mixture of variants in circulation, and signs of vaccine fatigue in the population

show a 17% increase in the number of Covid patients admitted to hospital in England – from 3,434 in the week ending 12 September to 4,015 in the week ending 19 September – with larger percentage rises in some regions.

There are also new variants. While Omicron has dominated in the UK since last winter, there are numerous sublineages. The BA.5 sub-variant is the most common, but experts are keeping their eyes on others including BA4.6, BF.7, BA.2.75.2 and BQ.1.1. Prof Tom Wenseleers, an evolutionary biologist at the Catholic University of Leuven in Belgium, said BA.2.75.2 and BQ1.1 have mutations in their spike protein that help them to partly escape from BA.5-induced immunity.

What is not known is the impact these variants may have on disease severity, although Peacock noted there were no indications at present that they cause worse illness. And Covid-related deaths remain low.

 

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