Explaining Labor’s romp, a Liberal catastrophe and the Green ripple

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Saturday’s commanding election win threw up intriguing features: thumping results for Labor in middle-ring eastern suburbs and robust support for Victorian Socialists thwarting the Greens. VictoriaVotes

, but the party shed votes to right-wing micro parties and could not translate big swings in the Labor heartland into wins.

Green said the outcome surprised him, and before Saturday, he had expected Labor to win a maximum of 48 seats. “There was a swing to Labor in the eastern suburbs and there was a massive swing against Labor in the western suburbs,” he said. Central to the opposition’s struggles in these areas – where it lost between 7 and 11 per cent of first preference support – was a shift towards right-wing micro parties such as the Freedom Party, Family First and Democratic Labour Party. These groups, which campaigned on a mix of anti-lockdown grievances and social conservatism, won an average vote share of 5.75 per cent in the five seats listed above.

While Saturday’s result was parlous for the Coalition, its ability to fend off challenges from progressive independent candidates in wealthy, inner-urban electorates has generated optimism.

 

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'the Greens challenge was thwarted in a number of seats thanks to robust support for the Victorian Socialists' The opposite is obviously true. The greens nearly won alot of those seats because of swings to the victorian socialists & their preferences

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